Manacor vs Platges Calvià: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 11Group 11 - 19Kick-off on January 24, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Poliesportiu Municipal Na Capellera, Manacor
The Footlab AI model makes Manacor the favourite at 61%, against 21% for a draw and 18% for Platges Calvià. The most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,576 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Manacor vs Platges Calvià?
Manacor starts as the favourite with a 119-point Elo edge (1,925 vs 1,806).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Manacor vs Platges Calvià
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Manacor
Not enough data to predict the Manacor lineup.
Platges Calvià
Not enough data to predict the Platges Calvià lineup.
Computed on October 17, 2026 at 05:40 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Manacor have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Platges Calvià have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Formentera(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Andratx(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Sineu(away) | 4-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Migjorn(home) | 5-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Platges Calvià(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Sineu(away) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Migjorn(home) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Cardassar(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Binissalem(away) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Manacor(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Manacor wins, 2 draws, 2 Platges Calvià wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 2026 | Platges Calvià 1-2 Manacor | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| May 3, 2026 | Platges Calvià 4-2 Manacor | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Jan 4, 2026 | Manacor 1-0 Platges Calvià | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Feb 2, 2025 | Platges Calvià 1-1 Manacor | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Sep 21, 2024 | Manacor 1-1 Platges Calvià | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Mar 16, 2024 | Platges Calvià 3-0 Manacor | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
Last archived meeting: Platges Calvià vs Manacor on Sep 12, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Manacor score 1.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Platges Calvià score 1.6 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manacor | 1.9 | 1.5 | 2 | 13/15 | 12/15 |
| Platges Calvià | 1.6 | 1.1 | 7 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Manacor sit 2nd in Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 (15 points from 6 matches) and Platges Calvià sit 5th (12 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Manacor | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 7 | 15 |
| 5 | Platges Calvià | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 5 | 12 |
A question about Manacor vs Platges Calvià?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Manacor vs Platges Calvià?
- The Footlab AI model makes Manacor the favourite at 61%, against 21% for a draw and 18% for Platges Calvià.
- Where and when is Manacor vs Platges Calvià played?
- Manacor vs Platges Calvià is played on January 24, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Poliesportiu Municipal Na Capellera, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 11.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.