Port Talbot Town vs Caerau (Ely): result 3-0 and analysis
Welsh Cup4th RoundKick-off on February 6, 2016 at 02:30 PM (UTC)Victoria Road, Port Talbot / Porth Talbot, Neath Port Talbot
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What was the result of Port Talbot Town vs Caerau (Ely)?
Port Talbot Town won 3-0 on February 6, 2016.
Goalscorers
- 6′Martin RosePort Talbot Town (pen.)
- 60′Martin RosePort Talbot Town
- 65′J. ClarkePort Talbot Town
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Port Talbot Town have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Caerau (Ely) have 11, 1 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2016 | Aberystwyth Town(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Jan 16, 2016 | Airbus UK(home) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Jan 10, 2016 | Aberystwyth Town(away) | 3-1 | Premier League |
| Jan 2, 2016 | Carmarthen Town(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Dec 26, 2015 | Carmarthen Town(home) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 5, 2015 | Brecon Corinthians(home) | 4-0 | Welsh Cup |
| Oct 31, 2015 | Goytre United(away) | 4-1 | Welsh Cup |
| Oct 3, 2015 | Undy Athletic(home) | 4-0 | Welsh Cup |
| Feb 7, 2015 | Carmarthen Town(home) | 0-4 | Welsh Cup |
| Nov 29, 2014 | Penrhyncoch(away) | 5-0 | Welsh Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Port Talbot Town score 0.9 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Caerau (Ely) score 3.6 and concede 1.4.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Port Talbot Town | 0.9 | 2.0 | 2 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Caerau (Ely) | 3.6 | 1.4 | 8 | 6/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy