Port Vale vs Leeds United U21: result 4-1 and analysis
EFL TrophyNorthern - 1Kick-off on September 2, 2025 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Vale Park, Stoke-on-Trent, Staffordshire
Full time
What was the result of Port Vale vs Leeds United U21?
Port Vale won 4-1 on September 2, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 12′J. McDonaldLeeds United U21
- 23′R. PatonPort Vale
- 34′J. ShorrockPort Vale
- 63′R. CurtisPort Vale
- 86′M. FaalPort Vale
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Port Vale have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Leeds United U21 have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 30, 2025 | Reading(away) | 0-1 | League One |
| Aug 26, 2025 | Birmingham(away) | 1-0 | League Cup |
| Aug 23, 2025 | Doncaster(home) | 0-1 | League One |
| Aug 19, 2025 | Stevenage(home) | 1-2 | League One |
| Aug 16, 2025 | Burton Albion(away) | 0-0 | League One |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 29, 2025 | Burnley U21(away) | 2-1 | Premier League 2 Division One |
| Aug 24, 2025 | Ipswich Town U21(home) | 2-3 | Premier League 2 Division One |
| Aug 15, 2025 | Aston Villa U21(away) | 3-0 | Premier League 2 Division One |
| Aug 12, 2025 | Boston United(away) | 0-4 | National League Cup |
| Jul 26, 2025 | Hartlepool(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
Port Vale score 1.3 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Leeds United U21 score 1.4 and concede 1.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Port Vale | 1.3 | 0.7 | 7 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
| Leeds United U21 | 1.4 | 1.7 | 1 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Port Vale sit 1st in EFL Trophy (7 points from 3 matches) and Leeds United U21 sit 4th (0 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Port Vale | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 7 |
| 4 | Leeds United U21 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 0 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy