Match

Barnet vs Port Vale: prediction and stats

League TwoRegular Season - 16Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The Hive Stadium, London

BarnetPort Vale

The Footlab AI model makes Barnet the favourite at 54%, against 26% for a draw and 20% for Port Vale. The most likely score is 1-1. If Barnet wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,390 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Barnet vs Port Vale?

Barnet starts as the favourite with a 111-point Elo edge (1,928 vs 1,817).

54%26%20%
Barnet winDrawPort Vale win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Barnet vs Port Vale

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Barnet

4-2-3-1
  1. 20K. Tshimanga
  1. 7T. Knowles
  2. 11I. Kanu
  3. 8C. Lakin
  4. 22O. Gallagher
  5. 23J. Reeves
  1. 6Z. Williams
  2. 5A. Senior
  3. 4D. Collinge
  4. 3R. Crichlow-Noble
  1. 13M. Cox

Port Vale

3-5-2
  1. 11O. Hernández
  2. 36M. Watters
  1. 6J. Lawrence-Gabriel
  2. 10K. Dempsey
  3. 3J. Headley
  4. 8B. Garrity
  5. 33G. Hall
  1. 5C. Hall
  2. 25C. Humphreys
  3. 4J. Moon
  1. 20M. Maroši

Computed on October 14, 2026 at 11:45 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Barnet have 6 wins, 7 draws and 2 defeats; Port Vale have 6, 3 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Barnet
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026Bristol Rovers(away)3-1League Two
Oct 6, 2026AFC Wimbledon(away)0-0EFL Trophy
Sep 19, 2026Fleetwood Town(home)3-1League Two
Sep 12, 2026Accrington ST(home)2-1League Two
Sep 5, 2026Chesterfield(away)3-3League Two
Port Vale
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026Grimsby(home)1-0League Two
Oct 6, 2026Mansfield Town(home)2-0EFL Trophy
Sep 22, 2026Chesterfield(away)1-1EFL Trophy
Sep 19, 2026Walsall(away)0-2League Two
Sep 12, 2026Exeter City(home)1-0League Two

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Barnet win, 2 draws, 3 Port Vale wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 13, 2018Barnet 1-1 Port ValeLeague Two
Nov 18, 2017Port Vale 1-0 BarnetLeague Two
Feb 9, 2013Barnet 0-0 Port ValeLeague Two
Aug 18, 2012Port Vale 3-0 BarnetLeague Two
Mar 10, 2012Port Vale 1-2 BarnetLeague Two
Aug 13, 2011Barnet 1-3 Port ValeLeague Two

Last archived meeting: Barnet vs Port Vale on Mar 13, 2018

How many goals should we expect?

Barnet score 2.0 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Port Vale score 0.8 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Barnet2.01.3213/1511/15
Port Vale0.81.164/153/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Barnet sit 2nd in League Two (18 points from 8 matches) and Port Vale sit 22nd (8 points from 8 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2Barnet8530201118
22Port Vale8224498

A question about Barnet vs Port Vale?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Barnet vs Port Vale?
The Footlab AI model makes Barnet the favourite at 54%, against 26% for a draw and 20% for Port Vale.
Where and when is Barnet vs Port Vale played?
Barnet vs Port Vale is played on November 21, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The Hive Stadium, in the League Two.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Barnet and Port Vale

Ready to know everything about football?