Portadown vs Coleraine FC: prediction and stats
PremiershipRegular Season - 4Kick-off on August 28, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Shamrock Park, Portadown
The Footlab model makes Coleraine FC the favourite at 64%, against 21% for a draw and 14% for Portadown. The most likely score is 0-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Portadown vs Coleraine FC?
Coleraine FC is a heavy favourite: 1,756 Elo points against 1,449 — a 307-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Portadown have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Coleraine FC have 11, 2 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Crusaders FC(away) | 2-3 | Premiership |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Dungannon Swifts(home) | 0-1 | Premiership |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Carrick Rangers(away) | 0-1 | Premiership |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Kilbarrack United(away) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 21, 2026 | H&W Welders(away) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Carrick Rangers(away) | 2-0 | Premiership |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Larne(home) | 0-0 | Premiership |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Dungannon Swifts(away) | 3-1 | Premiership |
| Jul 30, 2026 | HJK Helsinki(home) | 0-3 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 23, 2026 | HJK Helsinki(away) | 0-5 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Portadown win(s), 0 draw(s), 6 Coleraine FC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 18, 2026 | Coleraine FC 3-0 Portadown | Friendlies Clubs |
| Feb 10, 2026 | Coleraine FC 2-1 Portadown | Premiership |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Portadown 0-2 Coleraine FC | Premiership |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Portadown 1-4 Coleraine FC | Premiership |
| Mar 22, 2025 | Coleraine FC 1-0 Portadown | Premiership |
| Mar 1, 2025 | Coleraine FC 2-0 Portadown | Premiership |
Last archived meeting: Coleraine FC vs Portadown on Jul 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Portadown score 1.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Coleraine FC score 2.6 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portadown | 1.1 | 1.5 | 3 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Coleraine FC | 2.6 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Portadown sit 10th in Premiership (0 points from 3 matches) and Coleraine FC sit 1st (7 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coleraine FC | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 7 |
| 10 | Portadown | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Portadown vs Coleraine FC?
- The Footlab model makes Coleraine FC the favourite at 64%, against 21% for a draw and 14% for Portadown.
- Where and when is Portadown vs Coleraine FC played?
- Portadown vs Coleraine FC is played on August 28, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at Shamrock Park, in the Premiership.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.