Glentoran vs Crusaders FC: prediction and stats
PremiershipRegular Season - 4Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)BetMcLean Oval, Belfast
The Footlab model makes Glentoran the favourite at 73%, against 17% for a draw and 10% for Crusaders FC. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Glentoran vs Crusaders FC?
Glentoran starts as the favourite with a 229-point Elo edge (1,687 vs 1,458).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Glentoran have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Crusaders FC have 10, 2 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Ballymena United(away) | 2-0 | Premiership |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Linfield(away) | 1-2 | Premiership |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Limavady United(home) | 2-0 | Premiership |
| Jul 16, 2026 | Rīgas FS(away) | 0-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 9, 2026 | Rīgas FS(home) | 1-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Portadown(home) | 3-2 | Premiership |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Ballymena United(home) | 2-1 | Premiership |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Cliftonville FC(away) | 1-2 | Premiership |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Dundela(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Newington Youth(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Glentoran win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Crusaders FC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | Glentoran 5-1 Crusaders FC | Premiership |
| Nov 4, 2025 | Glentoran 2-1 Crusaders FC | League Cup |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Crusaders FC 2-3 Glentoran | Premiership |
| Aug 23, 2025 | Crusaders FC 0-2 Glentoran | Premiership |
| Apr 12, 2025 | Crusaders FC 0-4 Glentoran | Premiership |
| Mar 22, 2025 | Glentoran 0-1 Crusaders FC | Premiership |
Last archived meeting: Glentoran vs Crusaders FC on Feb 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Glentoran score 1.9 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Crusaders FC score 1.9 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Glentoran | 1.9 | 1.7 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Crusaders FC | 1.9 | 1.0 | 6 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Glentoran sit 2nd in Premiership (6 points from 3 matches) and Crusaders FC sit 4th (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Glentoran | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 6 |
| 4 | Crusaders FC | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Glentoran vs Crusaders FC?
- The Footlab model makes Glentoran the favourite at 73%, against 17% for a draw and 10% for Crusaders FC.
- Where and when is Glentoran vs Crusaders FC played?
- Glentoran vs Crusaders FC is played on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at BetMcLean Oval, in the Premiership.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.