Where and when is Portland Hearts of Pine vs Charlotte Independence played?

Portland Hearts of Pine vs Charlotte Independence is played on October 24, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Fitzpatrick Stadium, in the USL League One.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Portland Hearts of Pine vs Charlotte Independence: prediction and stats

USL League OneGroup StageKick-off on October 24, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Fitzpatrick Stadium, Portland, Maine

Portland Hearts of Pine

Charlotte Independence

The Footlab model makes Charlotte Independence the favourite at 39%, against 23% for a draw and 38% for Portland Hearts of Pine. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Portland Hearts of Pine vs Charlotte Independence?

Charlotte Independence starts as the favourite with a 118-point Elo edge (1,761 vs 1,643).

Portland Hearts of Pine win38 %

Draw23 %

Charlotte Independence win39 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Portland Hearts of Pine have 2 wins, 5 draws and 8 defeats; Charlotte Independence have 9, 3 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Portland Hearts of Pine
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Richmond Kickers(away)	1-1	USL League One
Aug 19, 2026	One Knoxville(away)	1-1	USL League One
Aug 16, 2026	Forward Madison(home)	1-2	USL League One
Aug 8, 2026	Corpus Christi(home)	0-2	USL League One
Aug 1, 2026	Greenville Triumph(away)	3-3	USL League One

Charlotte Independence
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Forward Madison(away)	1-1	USL League One
Aug 15, 2026	Sarasota Paradise(home)	3-1	USL League One
Aug 12, 2026	Hartford Athletic(home)	2-4	USL League One Cup
Aug 8, 2026	Greenville Triumph(home)	1-0	USL League One
Aug 1, 2026	One Knoxville(home)	3-1	USL League One

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Portland Hearts of Pine win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Charlotte Independence win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Aug 30, 2025	Portland Hearts of Pine 4-2 Charlotte Independence	USL League One
Jul 19, 2025	Charlotte Independence 1-1 Portland Hearts of Pine	USL League One

Last archived meeting: Portland Hearts of Pine vs Charlotte Independence on Aug 30, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Portland Hearts of Pine score 1.6 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Charlotte Independence score 2.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Portland Hearts of Pine	1.6	2.3	0	14/15	11/15
Charlotte Independence	2.1	1.5	3	11/15	10/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Portland Hearts of Pine sit 13th in USL League One (23 points from 22 matches) and Charlotte Independence sit 2nd (43 points from 21 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
2	Charlotte Independence	21	13	4	4	47	29	43
13	Portland Hearts of Pine	22	5	8	9	32	37	23

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Portland Hearts of Pine vs Charlotte Independence?: The Footlab model makes Charlotte Independence the favourite at 39%, against 23% for a draw and 38% for Portland Hearts of Pine.
Where and when is Portland Hearts of Pine vs Charlotte Independence played?: Portland Hearts of Pine vs Charlotte Independence is played on October 24, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Fitzpatrick Stadium, in the USL League One.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.