Portland Timbers II vs Austin II: prediction and stats
MLS Next ProGroup StageKick-off on August 30, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Providence Park, Portland, Oregon
The Footlab model makes Austin II the favourite at 42%, against 29% for a draw and 30% for Portland Timbers II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Portland Timbers II vs Austin II?
A very open match: only 73 Elo points separate Portland Timbers II (1,691) and Austin II (1,763).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Portland Timbers II have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Austin II have 11, 3 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Ventura County(away) | 2-2 | MLS Next Pro |
| Aug 16, 2026 | North Texas(away) | 3-0 | MLS Next Pro |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Los Angeles FC II(home) | 0-0 | MLS Next Pro |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Minnesota United II(away) | 2-1 | MLS Next Pro |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Real Monarchs(home) | 1-0 | MLS Next Pro |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | The Town(home) | 1-0 | MLS Next Pro |
| Aug 20, 2026 | North Texas(away) | 0-0 | MLS Next Pro |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Vancouver Whitecaps II(home) | 4-1 | MLS Next Pro |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Sporting KC II(home) | 1-0 | MLS Next Pro |
| Aug 3, 2026 | The Town(away) | 1-1 | MLS Next Pro |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Portland Timbers II win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Austin II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 27, 2025 | Austin II 1-2 Portland Timbers II | MLS Next Pro |
| Jun 21, 2025 | Portland Timbers II 1-1 Austin II | MLS Next Pro |
| Aug 9, 2024 | Portland Timbers II 3-3 Austin II | MLS Next Pro |
| Jun 15, 2024 | Austin II 0-0 Portland Timbers II | MLS Next Pro |
| Jun 19, 2023 | Austin II 4-0 Portland Timbers II | MLS Next Pro |
| May 8, 2023 | Portland Timbers II 0-1 Austin II | MLS Next Pro |
Last archived meeting: Austin II vs Portland Timbers II on Sep 27, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Portland Timbers II score 1.3 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Austin II score 2.2 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portland Timbers II | 1.3 | 0.9 | 9 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
| Austin II | 2.2 | 0.7 | 7 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Portland Timbers II sit 2nd in MLS Next Pro (50 points from 24 matches) and Austin II sit 1st (56 points from 24 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Portland Timbers II | 24 | 17 | 0 | 7 | 33 | 26 | 50 |
| 1 | Austin II | 24 | 18 | 0 | 6 | 48 | 19 | 56 |
| 1 | Austin II | 24 | 18 | 0 | 6 | 48 | 19 | 56 |
| 1 | Austin II | 22 | 17 | 0 | 5 | 47 | 19 | 52 |
| 2 | Portland Timbers II | 24 | 17 | 0 | 7 | 33 | 26 | 50 |
| 2 | Portland Timbers II | 23 | 16 | 0 | 7 | 31 | 24 | 48 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Portland Timbers II vs Austin II?
- The Footlab model makes Austin II the favourite at 42%, against 29% for a draw and 30% for Portland Timbers II.
- Where and when is Portland Timbers II vs Austin II played?
- Portland Timbers II vs Austin II is played on August 30, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Providence Park, in the MLS Next Pro.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Feb 28, 2026Inter Miami II1-1Chicago Fire II
- Feb 28, 2026Philadelphia Union II1-0Toronto II
- Feb 28, 2026St. Louis City II4-0Sporting KC II
- Mar 1, 2026Chattanooga1-4Crown Legacy
- Mar 1, 2026Portland Timbers II2-1The Town
- Mar 1, 2026New York RB II4-2Columbus Crew II
- Mar 1, 2026Real Monarchs2-2North Texas
- Mar 1, 2026FC Cincinnati II1-3Connecticut FC