Portonovo SD vs Celtiga: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 11Kick-off on November 15, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Portonovo SD the favourite at 47%, against 28% for a draw and 25% for Celtiga. The most likely score is 1-1. If Portonovo SD wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,449 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 4, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Portonovo SD vs Celtiga?
A very open match: only 43 Elo points separate Portonovo SD (1,755) and Celtiga (1,712).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Portonovo SD vs Celtiga
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Portonovo SD
Not enough data to predict the Portonovo SD lineup.
Celtiga
Not enough data to predict the Celtiga lineup.
Computed on November 4, 2026 at 09:36 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 9 matches in all competitions, Portonovo SD have 3 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Celtiga have 2, 4 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Atlético Arteixo(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Sarriana(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Antela(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Pontevedra II(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Lalin(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Arenteiro(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Somozas(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Celta de Vigo III(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Alondras(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Viveiro(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Portonovo SD score 1.2 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 9; Celtiga score 0.9 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portonovo SD | 1.2 | 1.1 | 3 | 5/9 | 5/9 |
| Celtiga | 0.9 | 1.6 | 3 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 9 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Portonovo SD sit 12th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 (11 points from 8 matches) and Celtiga sit 14th (10 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Portonovo SD | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 11 |
| 14 | Celtiga | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 10 |
A question about Portonovo SD vs Celtiga?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Portonovo SD vs Celtiga?
- The Footlab AI model makes Portonovo SD the favourite at 47%, against 28% for a draw and 25% for Celtiga.
- Where and when is Portonovo SD vs Celtiga played?
- Portonovo SD vs Celtiga is played on November 15, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC), in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.