Silva vs Alondras: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 11Kick-off on November 15, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Campo Municipal de Fútbol Rodrigo García Vizoso, A Coruña (La Coruña)
The Footlab model makes Silva the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Alondras. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Silva vs Alondras?
A very open match: only 30 Elo points separate Silva (1,712) and Alondras (1,742).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Silva have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Alondras have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Atlético Arteixo(away) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| May 3, 2026 | Noia(home) | 5-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Villalbés(away) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Barbadás(home) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Alondras(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Barbadás(away) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| May 3, 2026 | Viveiro(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | CD Lugo B(home) | 0-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Celta de Vigo III(away) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Silva(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Silva win(s), 3 draw(s), 3 Alondras win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2026 | Alondras 1-1 Silva | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Dec 7, 2025 | Silva 0-3 Alondras | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Mar 1, 2025 | Alondras 3-1 Silva | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 19, 2024 | Silva 1-1 Alondras | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Apr 7, 2024 | Alondras 1-1 Silva | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Nov 19, 2023 | Silva 0-1 Alondras | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Silva score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Alondras score 1.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Silva | 1.7 | 1.3 | 4 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Alondras | 1.3 | 1.5 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Silva sit 15th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 (36 points from 34 matches) and Alondras sit 12th (45 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Alondras | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 45 | 48 | 45 |
| 15 | Silva | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 36 | 48 | 36 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Silva vs Alondras?
- The Footlab model makes Silva the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Alondras.
- Where and when is Silva vs Alondras played?
- Silva vs Alondras is played on November 15, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Campo Municipal de Fútbol Rodrigo García Vizoso, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.