Portsmouth vs Swindon Town: result 1-2 and analysis
League OneRegular Season - 7Kick-off on September 18, 2012 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Fratton Park, Portsmouth
Full time
What was the result of Portsmouth vs Swindon Town?
Swindon Town won 1-2 on September 18, 2012.
Goalscorers
- 45′M. RitchieSwindon Town
- 55′A. WilliamsSwindon Town
- 90′Ľ. MichalíkPortsmouth
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Portsmouth have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Swindon Town have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 15, 2012 | Walsall(home) | 1-2 | League One |
| Sep 9, 2012 | Crawley Town(away) | 3-0 | League One |
| Sep 4, 2012 | Bournemouth(home) | 4-4 | EFL Trophy |
| Sep 1, 2012 | Oldham(home) | 0-1 | League One |
| Aug 25, 2012 | Carlisle(away) | 2-4 | League One |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 15, 2012 | Carlisle(away) | 2-2 | League One |
| Sep 8, 2012 | Leyton Orient(home) | 0-1 | League One |
| Sep 5, 2012 | Oxford United(away) | 0-1 | EFL Trophy |
| Sep 2, 2012 | Preston(away) | 1-4 | League One |
| Aug 28, 2012 | Stoke City(away) | 4-3 | League Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Portsmouth score 1.5 and concede 2.2 goals per match over their last 15; Swindon Town score 1.5 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portsmouth | 1.5 | 2.2 | 1 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Swindon Town | 1.5 | 1.1 | 8 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy