Match

Swindon Town vs Chesterfield: prediction and stats

League TwoRegular Season - 17Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The County Ground, Swindon, Wiltshire

Swindon TownChesterfield

The Footlab AI model makes Chesterfield the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Swindon Town. The most likely score is 1-1. If Chesterfield wins, the most likely score is 0-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.7% of the 3,833 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 29, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Swindon Town vs Chesterfield?

A very open match: only 62 Elo points separate Swindon Town (1,822) and Chesterfield (1,884).

35%27%38%
Swindon Town winDrawChesterfield win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Swindon Town vs Chesterfield

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Swindon Town

4-3-3
  1. 23A. Drinan
  2. 19J. Snowdon
  3. 7T. Nichols
  1. 25J. Thomson
  2. 6J. Ball
  3. 27A. Munda
  1. 2M. Clark
  2. 21K. Majekodunmi
  3. 16S. Inwood
  4. 5S. Negru
  1. 1C. Ripley

Chesterfield

4-2-3-1
  1. 10L. Bonis
  1. 20G. McEachran
  2. 18L. Marsh
  3. 8R. Stirk
  4. 24D. Markanday
  5. 37J. Koroma
  1. 6J. Simpson
  2. 33R. Hutton
  3. 19L. Gordon
  4. 15A. Pond
  1. 23R. Boot

Computed on October 29, 2026 at 01:16 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Swindon Town have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Chesterfield have 6, 5 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Swindon Town
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 24, 2026Bristol Rovers(away)0-0League Two
Oct 20, 2026Barnet(away)3-1League Two
Oct 17, 2026Walsall(home)1-1League Two
Oct 10, 2026Crewe(home)0-1League Two
Oct 3, 2026Rochdale(away)0-1League Two
Chesterfield
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 24, 2026Crewe(home)5-1League Two
Oct 20, 2026Colchester(home)1-1League Two
Oct 17, 2026Port Vale(away)0-1League Two
Oct 10, 2026Crawley Town(away)2-2League Two
Oct 3, 2026Tranmere(home)4-2League Two

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Swindon Town wins, 2 draws, 2 Chesterfield wins.

DateScoreCompetition
May 2, 2026Swindon Town 1-2 ChesterfieldLeague Two
Nov 29, 2025Chesterfield 1-2 Swindon TownLeague Two
Feb 22, 2025Swindon Town 1-0 ChesterfieldLeague Two
Aug 9, 2024Chesterfield 1-1 Swindon TownLeague Two
Feb 24, 2018Chesterfield 2-1 Swindon TownLeague Two
Nov 11, 2017Swindon Town 2-2 ChesterfieldLeague Two

Last archived meeting: Swindon Town vs Chesterfield on May 2, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Swindon Town score 0.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Chesterfield score 1.9 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Swindon Town0.91.327/157/15
Chesterfield1.91.4211/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Swindon Town sit 14th in League Two (16 points from 13 matches) and Chesterfield sit 7th (19 points from 13 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
7Chesterfield13544231719
14Swindon Town13445131616

A question about Swindon Town vs Chesterfield?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Swindon Town vs Chesterfield?
The Footlab AI model makes Chesterfield the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Swindon Town.
Where and when is Swindon Town vs Chesterfield played?
Swindon Town vs Chesterfield is played on November 28, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The County Ground, in the League Two.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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