Where and when is Portuense vs Xerez Deportivo played?

Portuense vs Xerez Deportivo is played on January 3, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC), in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 10.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Portuense vs Xerez Deportivo: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 10Group 10 - 18Kick-off on January 3, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)

Portuense

Xerez Deportivo

The Footlab model makes Portuense the favourite at 46%, against 28% for a draw and 26% for Xerez Deportivo. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Portuense vs Xerez Deportivo?

A very open match: only 58 Elo points separate Portuense (1,749) and Xerez Deportivo (1,807).

Portuense win46 %

Draw28 %

Xerez Deportivo win26 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 1 matches in all competitions, Portuense have 0 wins, 1 draws and 0 defeats; Xerez Deportivo have 2, 5 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Portuense
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 14, 2026	Xerez(home)	0-0	Friendlies Clubs

Xerez Deportivo
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 15, 2026	Mijas Las Lagunas(home)	0-1	Friendlies Clubs
May 3, 2026	Recreativo Huelva(away)	2-3	Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Apr 26, 2026	Xerez(home)	0-0	Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Apr 19, 2026	Deportiva Minera(away)	1-2	Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Apr 12, 2026	Linares Deportivo(home)	0-0	Segunda División RFEF - Group 4

How many goals should we expect?

Portuense score 0.0 and concede 0.0 goals per match over their last 1; Xerez Deportivo score 0.6 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Portuense	0.0	0.0	1	0/1	0/1
Xerez Deportivo	0.6	1.2	5	6/15	6/15

Over the last 1 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Portuense vs Xerez Deportivo?: The Footlab model makes Portuense the favourite at 46%, against 28% for a draw and 26% for Xerez Deportivo.
Where and when is Portuense vs Xerez Deportivo played?: Portuense vs Xerez Deportivo is played on January 3, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC), in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 10.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.