Ceuta II vs San Roque Lepe: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 10Group 10 - 18Kick-off on January 3, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Alfonso Murube, Ceuta
The Footlab AI model makes Ceuta II the favourite at 50%, against 26% for a draw and 24% for San Roque Lepe. The most likely score is 1-1. If Ceuta II wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.6% of the 3,680 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ceuta II vs San Roque Lepe?
On Elo ratings, Ceuta II has 1,798 points and San Roque Lepe 1,793.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Ceuta II vs San Roque Lepe
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Ceuta II
Not enough data to predict the Ceuta II lineup.
San Roque Lepe
Not enough data to predict the San Roque Lepe lineup.
Computed on October 27, 2026 at 10:42 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ceuta II have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; San Roque Lepe have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Utrera(home) | 5-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Pozoblanco(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Conil(home) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Dos Hermanas(away) | 0-5 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Tomares(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | Egabrense(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Recreativo Huelva(away) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Xerez Deportivo(away) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Betis C(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Bollullos(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Ceuta II win, 3 draws, 1 San Roque Lepe win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 6, 2026 | San Roque Lepe 1-1 Ceuta II | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| May 10, 2026 | San Roque Lepe 0-1 Ceuta II | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Jan 10, 2026 | Ceuta II 0-0 San Roque Lepe | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Mar 1, 2025 | Ceuta II 2-3 San Roque Lepe | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Oct 19, 2024 | San Roque Lepe 0-0 Ceuta II | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
Last archived meeting: San Roque Lepe vs Ceuta II on Sep 6, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Ceuta II score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; San Roque Lepe score 0.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ceuta II | 1.5 | 1.5 | 5 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| San Roque Lepe | 0.9 | 1.3 | 4 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ceuta II sit 9th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 (11 points from 8 matches) and San Roque Lepe sit 8th (11 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | San Roque Lepe | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 11 |
| 9 | Ceuta II | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 13 | 11 |
A question about Ceuta II vs San Roque Lepe?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ceuta II vs San Roque Lepe?
- The Footlab AI model makes Ceuta II the favourite at 50%, against 26% for a draw and 24% for San Roque Lepe.
- Where and when is Ceuta II vs San Roque Lepe played?
- Ceuta II vs San Roque Lepe is played on January 3, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Alfonso Murube, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 10.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.