Portugal vs Serbia: result 1-1 and analysis
Euro ChampionshipQualifying Round - 2Kick-off on March 25, 2019 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Estádio José Alvalade, Lisboa
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What was the result of Portugal vs Serbia?
Portugal and Serbia drew 1-1 on March 25, 2019.
Goalscorers
- 7′D. TadićSerbia (pen.)
- 42′Danilo PereiraPortugal
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Portugal have 5 wins, 8 draws and 2 defeats; Serbia have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2019 | Ukraine(home) | 0-0 | Euro Championship |
| Nov 20, 2018 | Poland(home) | 1-1 | UEFA Nations League |
| Nov 17, 2018 | Italy(away) | 0-0 | UEFA Nations League |
| Oct 14, 2018 | Scotland(away) | 3-1 | Friendlies |
| Oct 11, 2018 | Poland(away) | 3-2 | UEFA Nations League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2019 | Germany(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies |
| Nov 20, 2018 | Lithuania(home) | 4-1 | UEFA Nations League |
| Nov 17, 2018 | Montenegro(home) | 2-1 | UEFA Nations League |
| Oct 14, 2018 | Romania(away) | 0-0 | UEFA Nations League |
| Oct 11, 2018 | Montenegro(away) | 2-0 | UEFA Nations League |
How many goals should we expect?
Portugal score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Serbia score 1.5 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portugal | 1.3 | 1.1 | 6 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Serbia | 1.5 | 0.9 | 5 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Portugal sit 1st in Euro Championship (6 points from 3 matches) and Serbia sit 4th (2 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Portugal | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 6 |
| 4 | Serbia | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy