Hungary vs Croatia: result 2-1 and analysis
Euro ChampionshipQualifying Round - 2Kick-off on March 24, 2019 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Groupama Aréna, Budapest
Full time
What was the result of Hungary vs Croatia?
Hungary won 2-1 on March 24, 2019.
Goalscorers
- 13′A. RebićCroatia
- 34′Á. SzalaiHungary
- 76′M. PátkaiHungary
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hungary have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Croatia have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2019 | Slovakia(away) | 0-2 | Euro Championship |
| Nov 18, 2018 | Finland(home) | 2-0 | UEFA Nations League |
| Nov 15, 2018 | Estonia(home) | 2-0 | UEFA Nations League |
| Oct 15, 2018 | Estonia(away) | 3-3 | UEFA Nations League |
| Oct 12, 2018 | Greece(away) | 0-1 | UEFA Nations League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2019 | Azerbaijan(home) | 2-1 | Euro Championship |
| Nov 18, 2018 | England(away) | 1-2 | UEFA Nations League |
| Nov 15, 2018 | Spain(home) | 3-2 | UEFA Nations League |
| Oct 15, 2018 | Jordan(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies |
| Oct 12, 2018 | England(home) | 0-0 | UEFA Nations League |
How many goals should we expect?
Hungary score 1.2 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Croatia score 1.7 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hungary | 1.2 | 1.5 | 4 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Croatia | 1.7 | 1.5 | 3 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hungary sit 3rd in Euro Championship (3 points from 3 matches) and Croatia sit 3rd (2 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Croatia | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 2 |
| 3 | Hungary | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 3 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy