Portuguesa vs Nautico Recife: result 3-1 and analysis
Serie ARegular Season - 13Kick-off on July 29, 2012 at 09:30 PM (UTC)Mercado Livre Arena Pacaembu, São Paulo, São Paulo
Full time
What was the result of Portuguesa vs Nautico Recife?
Portuguesa won 3-1 on July 29, 2012.
Goalscorers
- 9′KiezaNautico Recife
- 31′MoisésPortuguesa
- 58′Ananias Eloi Castro MonteiroPortuguesa
- 87′Diego Sehnem VianaPortuguesa
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Portuguesa have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Nautico Recife have 4, 1 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 27, 2012 | Flamengo(away) | 0-0 | Serie A |
| Jul 22, 2012 | Corinthians(away) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Jul 18, 2012 | Cruzeiro(home) | 0-2 | Serie A |
| Jul 15, 2012 | Sport Recife(away) | 1-2 | Serie A |
| Jul 8, 2012 | Atletico-MG(away) | 0-2 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 25, 2012 | Coritiba(home) | 3-4 | Serie A |
| Jul 22, 2012 | Palmeiras(away) | 0-3 | Serie A |
| Jul 18, 2012 | Ponte Preta(home) | 3-0 | Serie A |
| Jul 14, 2012 | Corinthians(away) | 1-2 | Serie A |
| Jul 8, 2012 | Atletico Goianiense(away) | 1-0 | Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
Portuguesa score 1.0 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Nautico Recife score 1.3 and concede 2.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portuguesa | 1.0 | 1.1 | 5 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Nautico Recife | 1.3 | 2.0 | 4 | 6/12 | 8/12 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy