Coritiba vs Gremio: result 2-1 and analysis
Serie ARegular Season - 13Kick-off on July 28, 2012 at 09:30 PM (UTC)Estádio Major Antônio Couto Pereira, Curitiba, Paraná
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What was the result of Coritiba vs Gremio?
Coritiba won 2-1 on July 28, 2012.
Goalscorers
- 61′AyrtonCoritiba
- 64′André Luiz Barretto Silva LimaGremio
- 90′Leonardo Gonçalves SilvaCoritiba
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Coritiba have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Gremio have 8, 1 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 25, 2012 | Nautico Recife(away) | 4-3 | Serie A |
| Jul 22, 2012 | Bahia(away) | 2-2 | Serie A |
| Jul 20, 2012 | Palmeiras(home) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Jul 15, 2012 | Ponte Preta(away) | 1-4 | Serie A |
| Jul 8, 2012 | Sao Paulo(away) | 1-3 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 26, 2012 | Fluminense(home) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| Jul 22, 2012 | Botafogo(away) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| Jul 18, 2012 | Sport Recife(home) | 3-1 | Serie A |
| Jul 15, 2012 | Cruzeiro(away) | 3-1 | Serie A |
| Jul 8, 2012 | Santos(away) | 2-4 | Serie A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Coritiba win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Gremio win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 8, 2011 | Coritiba 2-0 Gremio | Serie A |
| Jul 10, 2011 | Gremio 2-0 Coritiba | Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
Coritiba score 1.5 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Gremio score 1.3 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coritiba | 1.5 | 1.8 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Gremio | 1.3 | 1.1 | 6 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Coritiba sit 10th in Serie A (31 points from 23 matches) and Gremio sit 15th (25 points from 23 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Coritiba | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 28 | 30 | 31 |
| 15 | Gremio | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 24 | 31 | 25 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy