Match

Potenza vs Bari: prediction and stats

Serie C - Girone CGirone C - 24Kick-off on January 31, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale Alfredo Viviani, Potenza

PotenzaBari

The Footlab AI model makes Potenza the favourite at 50%, against 26% for a draw and 24% for Bari. The most likely score is 1-1. If Potenza wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,440 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Potenza vs Bari?

On Elo ratings, Potenza has 1,829 points and Bari 1,765.

50%26%24%
Potenza winDrawBari win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Potenza vs Bari

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Potenza

4-3-3
  1. 10G. D'Auria
  2. 30L. Petrungaro
  3. 70Gabriele Selleri
  1. 24A. Bando
  2. 8M. Castorani
  3. 77M. Ghisolfi
  1. 6G. Loiacono
  2. 26N. Kirwan
  3. 3L. Russo
  4. 47R. Bura
  1. 17T. Cucchietti

Bari

4-3-1-2
  1. 7K. Butić
  2. 24F. Bianchi
  1. 25G. Maggiore
  2. 21M. Della Morte
  3. 11A. Tribuzzi
  4. 44L. Mendicino
  1. 79M. Elia
  2. 6V. Mogoș
  3. 72N. Cocetta
  4. 14M. Anzolin
  1. 31M. Cerofolini

Computed on October 15, 2026 at 11:52 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Potenza have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Bari have 9, 4 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Potenza
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 11, 2026Foggia(away)3-1Serie C - Girone C
Oct 4, 2026AZ Picerno(home)4-2Serie C - Girone C
Sep 27, 2026Barletta(away)4-1Serie C - Girone C
Sep 20, 2026Cavese(home)4-2Serie C - Girone C
Sep 15, 2026Bari(away)0-0Serie C - Girone C
Bari
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026Giugliano(home)2-0Serie C - Girone C
Oct 4, 2026Salernitana(away)1-2Serie C - Girone C
Sep 26, 2026Cosenza(home)1-0Serie C - Girone C
Sep 19, 2026Sorrento(away)2-1Serie C - Girone C
Sep 15, 2026Potenza(home)0-0Serie C - Girone C

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Potenza win, 2 draws, 3 Bari wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Sep 15, 2026Bari 0-0 PotenzaSerie C - Girone C
Dec 22, 2021Bari 2-0 PotenzaSerie C - Girone C
Aug 30, 2021Potenza 1-1 BariSerie C - Girone C
Mar 7, 2021Bari 0-2 PotenzaSerie C - Girone C
Nov 11, 2020Potenza 1-4 BariSerie C - Girone C
Dec 8, 2019Bari 2-1 PotenzaSerie C - Girone C

Last archived meeting: Bari vs Potenza on Sep 15, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Potenza score 2.1 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Bari score 1.3 and concede 0.6. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Potenza2.11.2410/1510/15
Bari1.30.6104/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Potenza sit 1st in Serie C - Girone C (22 points from 9 matches) and Bari sit 2nd (19 points from 9 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1Potenza9711241222
2Bari961213619

A question about Potenza vs Bari?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Potenza vs Bari?
The Footlab AI model makes Potenza the favourite at 50%, against 26% for a draw and 24% for Bari.
Where and when is Potenza vs Bari played?
Potenza vs Bari is played on January 31, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale Alfredo Viviani, in the Serie C - Girone C.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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