Audace Cerignola vs Casarano: prediction and stats
Serie C - Girone CGirone C - 24Kick-off on January 31, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Campo Comunale Domenico Monterisi, Cerignola
The Footlab AI model makes Audace Cerignola the favourite at 65%, against 21% for a draw and 14% for Casarano. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,900 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 21, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Audace Cerignola vs Casarano?
On Elo ratings, Audace Cerignola has 1,859 points and Casarano 1,817.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Audace Cerignola vs Casarano
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Audace Cerignola
4-3-3- 7A. Vinciguerra
- 10L. D'Orazio
- 9D. Gambale
- 58C. Cretella
- 4G. Vitale
- 68M. Sellaf
- 23A. Gasbarro
- 55M. Cocorocchio
- 27A. Boccadamo
- 37A. Silvestro
- 22A. Viola
Casarano
4-3-3- 10C. Chiricò
- 11V. Ferrara
- 9F. Grandolfo
- 23G. Logoluso
- 17R. Maiello
- 21N. Zanellato
- 33M. Mercadante
- 2P. Ciotti
- 36E. Matino
- 3F. Giraudo
- 97A. Farroni
Computed on October 21, 2026 at 03:02 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Audace Cerignola have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Casarano have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Savoia(home) | 4-0 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Crotone(away) | 3-2 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Team Altamura(home) | 0-0 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Sep 26, 2026 | AZ Picerno(away) | 1-2 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Casertana(home) | 0-0 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Cavese(away) | 2-5 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Salernitana(home) | 0-0 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Sorrento(away) | 0-2 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Sep 27, 2026 | SS Monopoli(home) | 0-1 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Savoia(away) | 1-1 | Serie C - Girone C |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Audace Cerignola wins, 0 draws, 3 Casarano wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 15, 2026 | Casarano 1-0 Audace Cerignola | Serie C - Girone C |
| Feb 20, 2026 | Audace Cerignola 2-1 Casarano | Serie C - Girone C |
| Oct 29, 2025 | Audace Cerignola 2-1 Casarano | Coppa Italia Serie C |
| Oct 12, 2025 | Casarano 3-0 Audace Cerignola | Serie C - Girone C |
| Feb 13, 2022 | Audace Cerignola 1-0 Casarano | Serie D - Girone H |
| Oct 6, 2021 | Casarano 2-0 Audace Cerignola | Serie D - Girone H |
Last archived meeting: Casarano vs Audace Cerignola on Sep 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Audace Cerignola score 1.6 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Casarano score 1.0 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Audace Cerignola | 1.6 | 1.2 | 5 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Casarano | 1.0 | 1.6 | 4 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Audace Cerignola sit 4th in Serie C - Girone C (17 points from 10 matches) and Casarano sit 15th (11 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Audace Cerignola | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 18 | 9 | 17 |
| 15 | Casarano | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 18 | 11 |
A question about Audace Cerignola vs Casarano?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Audace Cerignola vs Casarano?
- The Footlab AI model makes Audace Cerignola the favourite at 65%, against 21% for a draw and 14% for Casarano.
- Where and when is Audace Cerignola vs Casarano played?
- Audace Cerignola vs Casarano is played on January 31, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Campo Comunale Domenico Monterisi, in the Serie C - Girone C.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.