Audace Cerignola vs Casarano: prediction and stats
Serie C - Girone CGirone C - 24Kick-off on January 31, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Campo Comunale Domenico Monterisi, Cerignola
The Footlab model makes Audace Cerignola the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Casarano. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Audace Cerignola vs Casarano?
A very open match: only 6 Elo points separate Audace Cerignola (1,844) and Casarano (1,838).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Audace Cerignola have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Casarano have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Cosenza(home) | 3-1 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Aug 14, 2026 | SS Monopoli(home) | 1-1 | Coppa Italia Serie C |
| May 3, 2026 | Crotone(away) | 1-1 | Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Benevento(away) | 2-2 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Team Altamura(home) | 1-1 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Potenza(away) | 1-4 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Bari(away) | 0-1 | Coppa Italia Serie C |
| May 20, 2026 | Union Brescia(away) | 0-0 | Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs |
| May 17, 2026 | Union Brescia(home) | 0-3 | Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs |
| May 13, 2026 | Renate(away) | 3-0 | Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Audace Cerignola win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Casarano win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 20, 2026 | Audace Cerignola 2-1 Casarano | Serie C - Girone C |
| Oct 29, 2025 | Audace Cerignola 2-1 Casarano | Coppa Italia Serie C |
| Oct 12, 2025 | Casarano 3-0 Audace Cerignola | Serie C - Girone C |
| Feb 13, 2022 | Audace Cerignola 1-0 Casarano | Serie D - Girone H |
| Oct 6, 2021 | Casarano 2-0 Audace Cerignola | Serie D - Girone H |
| Jan 5, 2020 | Casarano 1-2 Audace Cerignola | Serie D - Girone H |
Last archived meeting: Audace Cerignola vs Casarano on Feb 20, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Audace Cerignola score 1.5 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Casarano score 1.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Audace Cerignola | 1.5 | 1.8 | 1 | 12/15 | 9/15 |
| Casarano | 1.7 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Audace Cerignola sit 3rd in Serie C - Girone C (3 points from 1 matches) and Casarano sit 19th (0 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Audace Cerignola | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 19 | Casarano | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Audace Cerignola vs Casarano?
- The Footlab model makes Audace Cerignola the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Casarano.
- Where and when is Audace Cerignola vs Casarano played?
- Audace Cerignola vs Casarano is played on January 31, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Campo Comunale Domenico Monterisi, in the Serie C - Girone C.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.