Preston vs Derby: result 0-1 and analysis
ChampionshipRegular Season - 3Kick-off on August 16, 2016 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Deepdale, Preston
Full time
What was the result of Preston vs Derby?
Derby won 0-1 on August 16, 2016.
Goalscorers
- 87′C. ForsythDerby
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Preston have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Derby have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 13, 2016 | Fulham(home) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Aug 9, 2016 | Hartlepool(home) | 1-0 | League Cup |
| Aug 6, 2016 | Reading(away) | 0-1 | Championship |
| May 7, 2016 | Leeds(home) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Apr 30, 2016 | Reading(away) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 13, 2016 | Barnsley(away) | 0-2 | Championship |
| Aug 9, 2016 | Grimsby(home) | 1-0 | League Cup |
| Aug 6, 2016 | Brighton(home) | 0-0 | Championship |
| May 17, 2016 | Hull City(away) | 2-0 | Championship |
| May 14, 2016 | Hull City(home) | 0-3 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Preston win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Derby win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2016 | Derby 0-0 Preston | Championship |
| Sep 12, 2015 | Preston 1-2 Derby | Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Preston score 0.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Derby score 1.5 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Preston | 0.9 | 1.1 | 2 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
| Derby | 1.5 | 1.1 | 6 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Preston sit 20th in Championship (0 points from 2 matches) and Derby sit 16th (1 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Derby | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
| 20 | Preston | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy