Pro Patria vs Cittadella Vis Modena: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone DGroup D - 30Kick-off on April 4, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Carlo Speroni, Busto Arsizio
The Footlab AI model makes Pro Patria the favourite at 35%, against 30% for a draw and 35% for Cittadella Vis Modena. The most likely score is 1-1. If Pro Patria wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,904 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 21, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Pro Patria vs Cittadella Vis Modena?
A very open match: only 46 Elo points separate Pro Patria (1,693) and Cittadella Vis Modena (1,739).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Pro Patria vs Cittadella Vis Modena
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Pro Patria
4-3-3- 10F. Mastroianni
- 25D. Ferri
- 70J. Desogus
- 17G. Tunjov
- 23J. Frosali
- 27L. Giudici
- 6A. Sassaro
- 39M. Motolese
- 20C. Mora
- 31G. Felicioli
- 28A. Sala
Cittadella Vis Modena
Not enough data to predict the Cittadella Vis Modena lineup.
Computed on October 21, 2026 at 03:25 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pro Patria have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Cittadella Vis Modena have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | USD Casatese(away) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Sant'Angelo(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Città di Varese(away) | 5-2 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Varesina(away) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Solbiatese(home) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Oltrepò(away) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Oct 11, 2026 | USD Casatese(home) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Sasso Marconi Zola(away) | 0-1 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Pontedera(away) | 3-0 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Correggese(home) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone D |
How many goals should we expect?
Pro Patria score 2.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Cittadella Vis Modena score 0.7 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pro Patria | 2.1 | 1.1 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Cittadella Vis Modena | 0.7 | 1.0 | 8 | 2/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Pro Patria sit 2nd in Serie D - Girone D (19 points from 8 matches) and Cittadella Vis Modena sit 9th (10 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Pro Patria | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 5 | 19 |
| 9 | Cittadella Vis Modena | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 10 |
A question about Pro Patria vs Cittadella Vis Modena?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Pro Patria vs Cittadella Vis Modena?
- The Footlab AI model makes Pro Patria the favourite at 35%, against 30% for a draw and 35% for Cittadella Vis Modena.
- Where and when is Pro Patria vs Cittadella Vis Modena played?
- Pro Patria vs Cittadella Vis Modena is played on April 4, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Carlo Speroni, in the Serie D - Girone D.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.