Pistoiese vs Pro Sesto: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone DGroup D - 30Kick-off on April 4, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Marcello Melani, Pistoia
The Footlab model makes Pistoiese the favourite at 55%, against 26% for a draw and 19% for Pro Sesto. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Pistoiese vs Pro Sesto?
Pistoiese starts as the favourite with a 174-point Elo edge (1,903 vs 1,729).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pistoiese have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; Pro Sesto have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Seravezza(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 10, 2026 | Piacenza(home) | 1-3 | Serie D - Girone D |
| May 3, 2026 | Cittadella Vis Modena(home) | 5-0 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Desenzano Calvina(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Coriano(home) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Correggese(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Tuttocuoio(home) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Piacenza(away) | 1-3 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Pistoiese(home) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Apr 2, 2026 | Pro Palazzolo(away) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone D |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Pistoiese win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Pro Sesto win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2026 | Pro Sesto 0-0 Pistoiese | Serie D - Girone D |
| Nov 30, 2025 | Pistoiese 0-2 Pro Sesto | Serie D - Girone D |
| Feb 21, 2021 | Pro Sesto 2-2 Pistoiese | Serie C - Girone A |
| Oct 25, 2020 | Pistoiese 1-2 Pro Sesto | Serie C - Girone A |
Last archived meeting: Pro Sesto vs Pistoiese on Apr 12, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Pistoiese score 1.9 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 15; Pro Sesto score 1.3 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pistoiese | 1.9 | 0.6 | 9 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| Pro Sesto | 1.3 | 1.2 | 5 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Pistoiese sit 3rd in Serie D - Girone D (68 points from 33 matches) and Pro Sesto sit 6th (55 points from 33 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Pistoiese | 33 | 19 | 11 | 3 | 56 | 22 | 68 |
| 6 | Pro Sesto | 33 | 15 | 10 | 8 | 45 | 29 | 55 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Pistoiese vs Pro Sesto?
- The Footlab model makes Pistoiese the favourite at 55%, against 26% for a draw and 19% for Pro Sesto.
- Where and when is Pistoiese vs Pro Sesto played?
- Pistoiese vs Pro Sesto is played on April 4, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Marcello Melani, in the Serie D - Girone D.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.