Progreso vs Cerro: result 2-0 and analysis
Primera División - ClausuraClausura - 10Kick-off on October 5, 2025 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Parque Abraham Paladino, Montevideo
Full time
What was the result of Progreso vs Cerro?
Progreso won 2-0 on October 5, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 24′G. SilvaProgreso
- 39′I. LemmoProgreso (pen.)
Official lineup for Progreso vs Cerro
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Progreso
- 14G. Silva
- 19F. López
- 8A. Colombino
- 10I. Lemmo
- 18G. Silva
- 29N. Fernández
- 4M. Paolini
- 16G. Trasante
- 23N. Olivera
- AA. Cougo
- 1N. Gentilio
Cerro
- 18B. Morales
- 29S. Paiva
- 7A. Macelli
- 8A. Miranda
- 14E. Sosa
- 24I. Valenzuela
- 30I. Neira
- 5Mauro Villar
- 6A. Frugone
- 28N. Fuica
- 25R. Bacchia
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Progreso have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Cerro have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 29, 2025 | Racing Montevideo(away) | 0-0 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Sep 21, 2025 | Wanderers(home) | 2-0 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Sep 14, 2025 | CA River Plate(away) | 0-0 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Sep 7, 2025 | Miramar(home) | 3-2 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Aug 31, 2025 | Boston River(away) | 1-2 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 26, 2025 | Wanderers(away) | 1-0 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Sep 21, 2025 | Miramar(home) | 1-0 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Sep 14, 2025 | Danubio(away) | 1-5 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Sep 7, 2025 | Cerro Largo(home) | 0-1 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Aug 31, 2025 | Juventud(away) | 0-1 | Primera División - Clausura |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Progreso wins, 3 draws, 1 Cerro win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2025 | Cerro 0-0 Progreso | Primera División |
| Sep 14, 2024 | Progreso 0-1 Cerro | Primera División - Clausura |
| Mar 1, 2024 | Cerro 2-3 Progreso | Primera División |
| Sep 10, 2022 | Cerro 1-1 Progreso | Segunda División |
| Jun 18, 2022 | Progreso 0-0 Cerro | Segunda División |
| Mar 25, 2022 | Progreso 2-1 Cerro | Segunda División |
How many goals should we expect?
Progreso score 0.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Cerro score 1.0 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Progreso | 0.9 | 1.3 | 6 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Cerro | 1.0 | 1.3 | 5 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Progreso sit 12th in Primera División - Clausura (39 points from 37 matches) and Cerro sit 10th (46 points from 37 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Cerro | 37 | 12 | 11 | 14 | 33 | 42 | 46 |
| 12 | Progreso | 37 | 10 | 9 | 18 | 38 | 60 | 39 |
A question about Progreso vs Cerro?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy