Penarol vs Danubio: result 2-0 and analysis
Primera División - ClausuraClausura - 10Kick-off on October 5, 2025 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Campeón del Siglo, Montevideo
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What was the result of Penarol vs Danubio?
Penarol won 2-0 on October 5, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 81′M. ArezoPenarol
- 84′H. VillalbaPenarol
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Penarol have 11 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; Danubio have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 27, 2025 | Cerro Largo(away) | 3-1 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Sep 24, 2025 | Tacuarembo(away) | 2-1 | Copa Uruguay |
| Sep 21, 2025 | Juventud(home) | 1-0 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Liverpool Montevideo(away) | 2-2 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Sep 10, 2025 | Liverpool Montevideo(home) | 2-1 | Copa Uruguay |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 28, 2025 | Atletico Torque(home) | 2-0 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Sep 19, 2025 | Defensor Sporting(away) | 1-2 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Sep 14, 2025 | Cerro(home) | 5-1 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Sep 6, 2025 | Wanderers(away) | 2-0 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Aug 31, 2025 | Miramar(home) | 2-3 | Primera División - Clausura |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Penarol win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Danubio win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2025 | Danubio 0-1 Penarol | Primera División |
| Oct 16, 2024 | Danubio 0-1 Penarol | Primera División - Clausura |
| Apr 14, 2024 | Penarol 2-0 Danubio | Primera División |
| Nov 19, 2023 | Danubio 2-1 Penarol | Primera División - Clausura |
| Jul 8, 2023 | Danubio 1-0 Penarol | Primera División |
| Apr 15, 2023 | Penarol 2-0 Danubio | Primera División |
How many goals should we expect?
Penarol score 1.9 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Danubio score 1.5 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Penarol | 1.9 | 0.8 | 7 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Danubio | 1.5 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Penarol sit 2nd in Primera División - Clausura (78 points from 37 matches) and Danubio sit 11th (43 points from 37 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Penarol | 37 | 24 | 6 | 7 | 66 | 34 | 78 |
| 11 | Danubio | 37 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 41 | 41 | 43 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy