Progreso vs Cerro: result 0-1 and analysis
Primera DivisiónRegular Season - 6Kick-off on March 10, 2018 at 07:30 PM (UTC)Parque Abraham Paladino, Montevideo
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What was the result of Progreso vs Cerro?
Cerro won 0-1 on March 10, 2018.
Goalscorers
- 76′Christian Washington Núñez MedinaCerro
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Progreso have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Cerro have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2018 | Club Nacional(home) | 2-1 | Primera División |
| Feb 25, 2018 | Fenix(away) | 0-2 | Primera División |
| Feb 17, 2018 | Rampla Juniors(home) | 4-1 | Primera División |
| Feb 10, 2018 | Atletico Torque(away) | 3-0 | Primera División |
| Feb 4, 2018 | Danubio(home) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2018 | Boston River(home) | 2-3 | Primera División |
| Feb 25, 2018 | Club Nacional(away) | 0-4 | Primera División |
| Feb 11, 2018 | Fenix(away) | 0-0 | Primera División |
| Feb 4, 2018 | Liverpool Montevideo(home) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Dec 2, 2017 | Rampla Juniors(away) | 1-0 | Primera División - Clausura |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Progreso win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Cerro win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2013 | Progreso 2-1 Cerro | Primera División - Clausura |
| Aug 26, 2012 | Cerro 0-2 Progreso | Primera División |
How many goals should we expect?
Progreso score 1.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Cerro score 1.1 and concede 1.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Progreso | 1.9 | 0.9 | 6 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Cerro | 1.1 | 1.7 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Progreso sit 15th in Primera División (10 points from 15 matches) and Cerro sit 16th (10 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Cerro | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 6 |
| 6 | Cerro | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 9 |
| 7 | Progreso | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 6 |
| 13 | Cerro | 62 | 19 | 15 | 28 | 50 | 81 | 71 |
| 14 | Cerro | 25 | 7 | 4 | 14 | 17 | 39 | 25 |
| 15 | Progreso | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 12 | 23 | 10 |
| 16 | Cerro | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 8 | 24 | 10 |
| 16 | Progreso | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 | Progreso | 61 | 14 | 13 | 34 | 56 | 97 | 55 |
| 16 | Progreso | 24 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 18 | 37 | 16 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy