Progreso vs Cerro: result 2-0 and analysis
Primera DivisiónApertura - 5Kick-off on August 16, 2020 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Parque Abraham Paladino, Montevideo
Full time
What was the result of Progreso vs Cerro?
Progreso won 2-0 on August 16, 2020.
Goalscorers
- 24′Álex Maximiliano Silva GarrelProgreso
- 43′G. JaraProgreso
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Progreso have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Cerro have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2020 | Fenix(away) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Mar 8, 2020 | Liverpool Montevideo(away) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Feb 23, 2020 | Plaza Colonia(home) | 2-2 | Primera División |
| Feb 15, 2020 | Atletico Torque(away) | 3-1 | Primera División |
| Jan 30, 2020 | Barcelona SC(away) | 1-3 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2020 | Plaza Colonia(home) | 1-0 | Primera División |
| Mar 7, 2020 | Atletico Torque(away) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Feb 22, 2020 | CA River Plate(home) | 0-0 | Primera División |
| Feb 15, 2020 | Penarol(away) | 1-2 | Primera División |
| Dec 5, 2019 | Wanderers(away) | 2-0 | Primera División - Clausura |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Progreso win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Cerro win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2019 | Progreso 1-1 Cerro | Primera División - Clausura |
| Apr 13, 2019 | Cerro 0-2 Progreso | Primera División |
| Aug 25, 2018 | Cerro 5-2 Progreso | Primera División - Clausura |
| Mar 10, 2018 | Progreso 0-1 Cerro | Primera División |
| Feb 24, 2013 | Progreso 2-1 Cerro | Primera División - Clausura |
| Aug 26, 2012 | Cerro 0-2 Progreso | Primera División |
How many goals should we expect?
Progreso score 1.3 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Cerro score 0.9 and concede 1.4.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Progreso | 1.3 | 1.2 | 2 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
| Cerro | 0.9 | 1.4 | 4 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Progreso sit 15th in Primera División (10 points from 15 matches) and Cerro sit 16th (10 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Cerro | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 6 |
| 6 | Cerro | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 9 |
| 7 | Progreso | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 6 |
| 13 | Cerro | 62 | 19 | 15 | 28 | 50 | 81 | 71 |
| 14 | Cerro | 25 | 7 | 4 | 14 | 17 | 39 | 25 |
| 15 | Progreso | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 12 | 23 | 10 |
| 16 | Cerro | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 8 | 24 | 10 |
| 16 | Progreso | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 | Progreso | 61 | 14 | 13 | 34 | 56 | 97 | 55 |
| 16 | Progreso | 24 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 18 | 37 | 16 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy