Progreso vs Cerro Largo: result 0-1 and analysis
Primera DivisiónApertura - 14Kick-off on May 3, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC)Parque Abraham Paladino, Montevideo
Full time
What was the result of Progreso vs Cerro Largo?
Cerro Largo won 0-1 on May 3, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 56′T. CorreaCerro Largo
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Progreso have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Cerro Largo have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 27, 2026 | Defensor Sporting(away) | 0-1 | Primera División |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Wanderers(home) | 2-1 | Primera División |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Juventud(away) | 0-1 | Primera División |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Penarol(home) | 0-2 | Primera División |
| Mar 31, 2026 | Liverpool Montevideo(home) | 3-3 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | Racing Montevideo(home) | 0-1 | Primera División |
| Apr 20, 2026 | Boston River(away) | 0-1 | Primera División |
| Apr 10, 2026 | Cerro(home) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Albion FC(away) | 2-2 | Primera División |
| Mar 30, 2026 | Danubio(home) | 2-0 | Primera División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Progreso win(s), 1 draw(s), 5 Cerro Largo win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 9, 2025 | Progreso 1-2 Cerro Largo | Primera División - Clausura |
| Feb 7, 2025 | Cerro Largo 4-1 Progreso | Primera División |
| Nov 30, 2024 | Cerro Largo 2-1 Progreso | Primera División - Clausura |
| Jun 4, 2024 | Progreso 0-1 Cerro Largo | Primera División |
| Oct 17, 2021 | Cerro Largo 1-0 Progreso | Primera División - Clausura |
| Jun 19, 2021 | Progreso 0-0 Cerro Largo | Primera División |
Last archived meeting: Progreso vs Cerro Largo on Aug 9, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Progreso score 0.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Cerro Largo score 1.0 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Progreso | 0.9 | 1.5 | 1 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Cerro Largo | 1.0 | 1.3 | 2 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Progreso sit 15th in Primera División (10 points from 15 matches) and Cerro Largo sit 12th (17 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Cerro Largo | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 11 |
| 7 | Progreso | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 6 |
| 10 | Cerro Largo | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| 10 | Cerro Largo | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 26 | 27 | 31 |
| 12 | Cerro Largo | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 16 | 19 | 17 |
| 12 | Cerro Largo | 62 | 20 | 20 | 22 | 67 | 68 | 80 |
| 15 | Progreso | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 12 | 23 | 10 |
| 16 | Progreso | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 | Progreso | 61 | 14 | 13 | 34 | 56 | 97 | 55 |
| 16 | Progreso | 24 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 18 | 37 | 16 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy