Progreso vs Club Nacional: result 1-5 and analysis
Primera DivisiónApertura - 3Kick-off on February 16, 2025 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Parque Abraham Paladino, Montevideo
Full time
What was the result of Progreso vs Club Nacional?
Club Nacional won 1-5 on February 16, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 11′J. RecobaClub Nacional
- 17′D. HerazoClub Nacional
- 37′N. LópezClub Nacional (pen.)
- 52′N. FernándezProgreso
- 63′N. LópezClub Nacional (pen.)
- 84′B. AradyClub Nacional
Official lineup for Progreso vs Club Nacional
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Progreso
- 7A. Moreira
- 9N. González
- 6F. Silvera
- 8A. Colombino
- 11M. García
- 18G. Silva
- 21J. Rivero
- 4M. Martin
- 15L. Maldonado
- 32C. Ordóñez
- 33N. Suárez
Club Nacional
- 7N. López
- 16L. Villalba
- 76D. Herazo
- 6L. Boggio
- 8C. Oliva
- 18J. Recoba
- 4S. Coates
- 11G. Báez
- 13E. Ancheta
- 29J. Millán
- 12L. Mejía
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Progreso have 1 win, 4 draws and 10 defeats; Club Nacional have 10, 3 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2025 | Cerro Largo(away) | 1-4 | Primera División |
| Feb 1, 2025 | Penarol(home) | 1-3 | Primera División |
| Nov 30, 2024 | Cerro Largo(away) | 1-2 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Nov 27, 2024 | Penarol(home) | 1-5 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Nov 18, 2024 | Fenix(home) | 2-2 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 9, 2025 | Penarol(home) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Feb 2, 2025 | Atletico Torque(away) | 0-1 | Primera División |
| Jan 26, 2025 | Penarol(home) | 2-1 | Super Copa |
| Dec 6, 2024 | Defensor Sporting(home) | 2-2 | Copa Uruguay |
| Dec 1, 2024 | Boston River(home) | 3-1 | Primera División - Clausura |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Progreso win, 1 draw, 4 Club Nacional wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 29, 2024 | Progreso 0-3 Club Nacional | Primera División - Clausura |
| Mar 23, 2024 | Club Nacional 0-0 Progreso | Primera División |
| Sep 19, 2021 | Club Nacional 0-1 Progreso | Primera División - Clausura |
| May 23, 2021 | Progreso 1-3 Club Nacional | Primera División |
| Feb 18, 2021 | Progreso 0-1 Club Nacional | Primera División - Clausura |
| Aug 26, 2020 | Club Nacional 2-1 Progreso | Primera División |
Last archived meeting: Progreso vs Club Nacional on Sep 29, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Progreso score 0.7 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Club Nacional score 2.7 and concede 0.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Progreso | 0.7 | 1.9 | 3 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Club Nacional | 2.7 | 0.7 | 7 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Progreso sit 9th in Primera División (13 points from 10 matches) and Club Nacional sit 4th (20 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Club Nacional | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 9 | 20 |
| 9 | Progreso | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 13 | 13 |
A question about Progreso vs Club Nacional?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy