Progreso vs Club Nacional: result 2-1 and analysis
Primera DivisiónRegular Season - 5Kick-off on March 4, 2018 at 07:30 PM (UTC)Parque Abraham Paladino, Montevideo
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What was the result of Progreso vs Club Nacional?
Progreso won 2-1 on March 4, 2018.
Goalscorers
- 43′G. ColmánProgreso
- 45′G. BuenoClub Nacional
- 90′D. CóccaroProgreso (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Progreso have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Club Nacional have 11, 1 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2018 | Fenix(away) | 0-2 | Primera División |
| Feb 17, 2018 | Rampla Juniors(home) | 4-1 | Primera División |
| Feb 10, 2018 | Atletico Torque(away) | 3-0 | Primera División |
| Feb 4, 2018 | Danubio(home) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Dec 16, 2017 | Villa Teresa(home) | 2-1 | Segunda División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2018 | Cerro(home) | 4-0 | Primera División |
| Feb 18, 2018 | Fenix(home) | 2-1 | Primera División |
| Feb 10, 2018 | Rampla Juniors(away) | 3-0 | Primera División |
| Feb 3, 2018 | Atletico Torque(away) | 4-2 | Primera División |
| Dec 3, 2017 | SUD America(away) | 2-3 | Primera División - Clausura |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Progreso win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Club Nacional win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 25, 2013 | Progreso 2-3 Club Nacional | Primera División - Clausura |
| Dec 1, 2012 | Club Nacional 6-1 Progreso | Primera División |
Last archived meeting: Progreso vs Club Nacional on May 25, 2013
How many goals should we expect?
Progreso score 1.7 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Club Nacional score 2.4 and concede 1.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Progreso | 1.7 | 0.9 | 7 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
| Club Nacional | 2.4 | 1.0 | 6 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Progreso sit 15th in Primera División (10 points from 15 matches) and Club Nacional sit 7th (22 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Club Nacional | 61 | 35 | 12 | 14 | 111 | 66 | 114 |
| 2 | Club Nacional | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 13 |
| 7 | Club Nacional | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 26 | 21 | 22 |
| 7 | Progreso | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 6 |
| 8 | Club Nacional | 24 | 11 | 2 | 11 | 35 | 33 | 35 |
| 15 | Club Nacional | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 | Progreso | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 12 | 23 | 10 |
| 16 | Progreso | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 | Progreso | 61 | 14 | 13 | 34 | 56 | 97 | 55 |
| 16 | Progreso | 24 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 18 | 37 | 16 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy