Progreso vs Club Nacional: result 0-1 and analysis
Primera DivisiónApertura - 3Kick-off on February 21, 2026 at 11:30 PM (UTC)Parque Abraham Paladino, Montevideo
Full time
What was the result of Progreso vs Club Nacional?
Club Nacional won 0-1 on February 21, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 45′J. MillánClub Nacional
Official lineup for Progreso vs Club Nacional
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Progreso
5-3-2- 93D. Sanchez
- 17F. de León
- 24S. Viera
- 5A. Pinheiro
- 8A. Colombino
- 14F. Kidd
- 15M. Martin
- 6F. Andueza
- 13H. Carroso
- 2S. Cardozo
- 1A. Mehring
Club Nacional
4-4-2- 11M. Silvera
- 9M. Gómez
- 31R. Martinez
- 6L. Boggio
- 23L. Rodríguez
- 27T. Verón
- 34F. Bais
- 29J. Millán
- 4S. Coates
- 5J. Pintado
- 1L. Mejía
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Progreso have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Club Nacional have 5, 10 and 0.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2026 | Deportivo Maldonado(away) | 0-2 | Primera División |
| Feb 7, 2026 | Central Espanol(home) | 0-3 | Primera División |
| Jan 29, 2026 | Boston River(away) | 2-1 | Copa De La Liga Auf |
| Jan 22, 2026 | Club Nacional(away) | 1-1 | Copa De La Liga Auf |
| Jan 19, 2026 | Juventud(away) | 1-0 | Copa De La Liga Auf |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2026 | Racing Montevideo(home) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Feb 8, 2026 | Boston River(away) | 2-1 | Primera División |
| Feb 1, 2026 | Penarol(away) | 0-0 | Super Copa |
| Jan 25, 2026 | Concepción(home) | 1-0 | Serie Rio De La Plata |
| Jan 22, 2026 | Progreso(home) | 1-1 | Copa De La Liga Auf |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Progreso wins, 2 draws, 4 Club Nacional wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 22, 2026 | Club Nacional 1-1 Progreso | Copa De La Liga Auf |
| Aug 16, 2025 | Club Nacional 3-1 Progreso | Primera División - Clausura |
| May 23, 2025 | Club Nacional 1-0 Progreso | Primera División |
| Feb 16, 2025 | Progreso 1-5 Club Nacional | Primera División |
| Sep 29, 2024 | Progreso 0-3 Club Nacional | Primera División - Clausura |
| Mar 23, 2024 | Club Nacional 0-0 Progreso | Primera División |
Last archived meeting: Club Nacional vs Progreso on Jan 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Progreso score 0.9 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Club Nacional score 1.0 and concede 0.6.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Progreso | 0.9 | 1.4 | 6 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Club Nacional | 1.0 | 0.6 | 7 | 8/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Progreso sit 9th in Primera División (13 points from 10 matches) and Club Nacional sit 4th (20 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Club Nacional | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 9 | 20 |
| 9 | Progreso | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 13 | 13 |
A question about Progreso vs Club Nacional?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy