Progreso vs Danubio: result 1-0 and analysis
Primera División - ClausuraClausura - 4Kick-off on August 24, 2025 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Parque Abraham Paladino, Montevideo
Full time
What was the result of Progreso vs Danubio?
Progreso won 1-0 on August 24, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 68′M. CopelottiProgreso
Official lineup for Progreso vs Danubio
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Progreso
- 19F. López
- 26M. Copelotti
- 7A. García
- 8A. Colombino
- 10I. Lemmo
- 29N. Fernández
- 16G. Trasante
- 23N. Olivera
- 32C. Ordóñez
- 40A. Cougo
- 1N. Gentilio
Danubio
- 21Brandão
- 6L. Sosa
- 11L. Sanseviero
- 19S. Romero
- 31J. Amaro
- 33V. Sanchez
- 35I. Pais
- 2E. Velázquez
- 18C. Mayada
- 23M. Gonzalez
- 1M. Goicoechea
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Progreso have 4 wins, 1 draw and 10 defeats; Danubio have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2025 | Club Nacional(away) | 1-3 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Aug 9, 2025 | Cerro Largo(home) | 1-2 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Aug 1, 2025 | Penarol(away) | 1-2 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Jun 29, 2025 | Juventud(away) | 0-2 | Primera División |
| Jun 22, 2025 | Racing Montevideo(away) | 0-3 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 18, 2025 | Cerro Largo(away) | 0-1 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Aug 10, 2025 | Juventud(home) | 2-1 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Aug 3, 2025 | Liverpool Montevideo(away) | 0-0 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Jun 29, 2025 | Club Nacional(away) | 2-3 | Primera División |
| Jun 21, 2025 | Juventud(away) | 1-3 | Primera División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Progreso win, 4 draws, 1 Danubio win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 31, 2025 | Progreso 0-1 Danubio | Primera División |
| Feb 23, 2025 | Danubio 1-1 Progreso | Primera División |
| Oct 12, 2024 | Progreso 0-0 Danubio | Primera División - Clausura |
| Apr 6, 2024 | Danubio 1-1 Progreso | Primera División |
| Aug 31, 2022 | Progreso 2-2 Danubio | Copa Uruguay |
| Feb 15, 2021 | Danubio 0-1 Progreso | Primera División - Clausura |
How many goals should we expect?
Progreso score 0.9 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Danubio score 1.1 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Progreso | 0.9 | 1.7 | 2 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Danubio | 1.1 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Progreso sit 12th in Primera División - Clausura (39 points from 37 matches) and Danubio sit 11th (43 points from 37 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Danubio | 37 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 41 | 41 | 43 |
| 12 | Progreso | 37 | 10 | 9 | 18 | 38 | 60 | 39 |
A question about Progreso vs Danubio?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy