Progreso vs Danubio: result 0-1 and analysis
Primera DivisiónIntermediate Round - 2Kick-off on May 31, 2025 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Parque Abraham Paladino, Montevideo
Full time
What was the result of Progreso vs Danubio?
Danubio won 0-1 on May 31, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 74′L. SansevieroDanubio
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Progreso have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Danubio have 2, 8 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2025 | Club Nacional(away) | 0-1 | Primera División |
| May 18, 2025 | Juventud(home) | 1-2 | Primera División |
| May 4, 2025 | Atletico Torque(away) | 3-2 | Primera División |
| Apr 27, 2025 | Liverpool Montevideo(home) | 0-2 | Primera División |
| Apr 20, 2025 | Defensor Sporting(away) | 2-1 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 25, 2025 | Miramar(home) | 2-0 | Primera División |
| May 19, 2025 | Plaza Colonia(away) | 2-1 | Primera División |
| May 3, 2025 | Racing Montevideo(home) | 0-0 | Primera División |
| Apr 26, 2025 | CA River Plate(away) | 0-1 | Primera División |
| Apr 18, 2025 | Boston River(home) | 1-2 | Primera División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Progreso win(s), 4 draw(s), 0 Danubio win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 2025 | Danubio 1-1 Progreso | Primera División |
| Oct 12, 2024 | Progreso 0-0 Danubio | Primera División - Clausura |
| Apr 6, 2024 | Danubio 1-1 Progreso | Primera División |
| Aug 31, 2022 | Progreso 2-2 Danubio | Copa Uruguay |
| Feb 15, 2021 | Danubio 0-1 Progreso | Primera División - Clausura |
| Aug 22, 2020 | Progreso 1-0 Danubio | Primera División |
How many goals should we expect?
Progreso score 1.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Danubio score 0.9 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Progreso | 1.1 | 1.7 | 1 | 11/15 | 7/15 |
| Danubio | 0.9 | 1.1 | 3 | 8/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Progreso sit 15th in Primera División (10 points from 15 matches) and Danubio sit 11th (18 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Progreso | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 6 |
| 8 | Danubio | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 4 |
| 11 | Danubio | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 21 | 18 |
| 12 | Danubio | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| 15 | Danubio | 62 | 14 | 25 | 23 | 63 | 72 | 67 |
| 15 | Danubio | 25 | 4 | 12 | 9 | 22 | 31 | 24 |
| 15 | Progreso | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 12 | 23 | 10 |
| 16 | Progreso | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 | Progreso | 61 | 14 | 13 | 34 | 56 | 97 | 55 |
| 16 | Progreso | 24 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 18 | 37 | 16 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy