Progreso vs Danubio: result 2-1 and analysis
Primera División - ClausuraClausura - 7Kick-off on October 19, 2019 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Parque Abraham Paladino, Montevideo
Full time
What was the result of Progreso vs Danubio?
Progreso won 2-1 on October 19, 2019.
Goalscorers
- 45′N. PantaleoneDanubio
- 55′Mathías Damián Riquero BerettaProgreso
- 68′A. GonzálezProgreso
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Progreso have 6 wins, 7 draws and 2 defeats; Danubio have 3, 3 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2019 | Boston River(away) | 1-1 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Oct 9, 2019 | Racing Montevideo(home) | 2-1 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Oct 5, 2019 | Wanderers(away) | 1-0 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Sep 22, 2019 | Liverpool Montevideo(home) | 2-1 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Sep 18, 2019 | Juventud(away) | 2-1 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2019 | Fenix(home) | 1-1 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Oct 9, 2019 | Club Nacional(away) | 0-1 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Oct 5, 2019 | CA River Plate(home) | 1-1 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Sep 22, 2019 | Cerro(away) | 1-0 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Sep 19, 2019 | Plaza Colonia(home) | 0-1 | Primera División - Clausura |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Progreso wins, 2 draws, 1 Danubio win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 11, 2019 | Progreso 2-0 Danubio | Primera División - Clausura |
| Mar 31, 2019 | Danubio 3-2 Progreso | Primera División |
| Jul 22, 2018 | Danubio 2-2 Progreso | Primera División - Clausura |
| Feb 4, 2018 | Progreso 1-1 Danubio | Primera División |
| Mar 2, 2013 | Progreso 1-0 Danubio | Primera División - Clausura |
| Sep 1, 2012 | Danubio 1-4 Progreso | Primera División |
How many goals should we expect?
Progreso score 1.4 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Danubio score 0.8 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Progreso | 1.4 | 1.2 | 4 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Danubio | 0.8 | 1.3 | 3 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Progreso sit 12th in Primera División - Clausura (39 points from 37 matches) and Danubio sit 11th (43 points from 37 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Danubio | 37 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 41 | 41 | 43 |
| 12 | Progreso | 37 | 10 | 9 | 18 | 38 | 60 | 39 |
A question about Progreso vs Danubio?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy