Progreso vs Defensor Sporting: result 1-4 and analysis
Primera DivisiónApertura - 12Kick-off on May 12, 2024 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Parque Abraham Paladino, Montevideo
Full time
What was the result of Progreso vs Defensor Sporting?
Defensor Sporting won 1-4 on May 12, 2024.
Goalscorers
- 31′R. GiampaoliDefensor Sporting
- 53′F. BernalDefensor Sporting
- 57′O. RiveroDefensor Sporting
- 83′F. LópezProgreso (pen.)
- 90′L. AgazziDefensor Sporting
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Progreso have 11 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeats; Defensor Sporting have 9, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 4, 2024 | Wanderers(away) | 0-2 | Primera División |
| Apr 28, 2024 | Liverpool Montevideo(home) | 2-1 | Primera División |
| Apr 21, 2024 | CA River Plate(away) | 2-2 | Primera División |
| Apr 13, 2024 | Boston River(home) | 1-0 | Primera División |
| Apr 6, 2024 | Danubio(away) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 5, 2024 | Fenix(away) | 2-0 | Primera División |
| Apr 28, 2024 | Wanderers(home) | 2-2 | Primera División |
| Apr 24, 2024 | Rampla Juniors(away) | 1-2 | Primera División |
| Apr 19, 2024 | Liverpool Montevideo(away) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Apr 14, 2024 | CA River Plate(home) | 2-1 | Primera División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Progreso win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Defensor Sporting win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2022 | Defensor Sporting 3-1 Progreso | Copa Uruguay |
| Oct 26, 2022 | Progreso 1-1 Defensor Sporting | Copa Uruguay |
| Feb 11, 2021 | Progreso 3-3 Defensor Sporting | Primera División - Clausura |
| Aug 19, 2020 | Defensor Sporting 2-1 Progreso | Primera División |
| Dec 5, 2019 | Defensor Sporting 2-4 Progreso | Primera División - Clausura |
| Aug 18, 2019 | Progreso 3-1 Defensor Sporting | Primera División - Clausura |
Last archived meeting: Defensor Sporting vs Progreso on Nov 3, 2022
How many goals should we expect?
Progreso score 2.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Defensor Sporting score 1.7 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Progreso | 2.3 | 1.3 | 3 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| Defensor Sporting | 1.7 | 0.9 | 6 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Progreso sit 15th in Primera División (10 points from 15 matches) and Defensor Sporting sit 8th (21 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Defensor Sporting | 62 | 24 | 17 | 21 | 62 | 64 | 89 |
| 7 | Defensor Sporting | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 6 |
| 7 | Progreso | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 6 |
| 8 | Defensor Sporting | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 13 | 11 | 21 |
| 12 | Defensor Sporting | 25 | 6 | 10 | 9 | 20 | 26 | 28 |
| 13 | Defensor Sporting | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 1 |
| 15 | Progreso | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 12 | 23 | 10 |
| 16 | Progreso | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 | Progreso | 61 | 14 | 13 | 34 | 56 | 97 | 55 |
| 16 | Progreso | 24 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 18 | 37 | 16 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy