Progreso vs Deportivo Maldonado: result 0-1 and analysis
Primera DivisiónIntermediate Round - 6Kick-off on July 21, 2024 at 03:30 PM (UTC)Parque Abraham Paladino, Montevideo
Full time
What was the result of Progreso vs Deportivo Maldonado?
Deportivo Maldonado won 0-1 on July 21, 2024.
Goalscorers
- 90′M. NobleDeportivo Maldonado (pen.)
Official lineup for Progreso vs Deportivo Maldonado
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Progreso
3-4-3- 14M. Aramburú
- 19G. Barreto
- 9H. Sequeira
- 29N. Fernández
- 20M. García
- 10I. Lemmo
- 17J. Poiso
- 6F. Silvera
- 2S. Cardozo
- 15M. Martin
- 33N. Suárez
Deportivo Maldonado
3-5-2- 29A. González
- 37M. Noble
- 26G. Larrazábal
- 8P. González
- 15S. González
- 28S. Cartagena
- 24M. Montiel
- 19F. Tealde
- 32H. Petryk
- 25Juan Martín Ginzo
- 22G. Reyes
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Progreso have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Deportivo Maldonado have 2, 5 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 14, 2024 | Wanderers(away) | 2-4 | Primera División |
| Jul 7, 2024 | Racing Montevideo(home) | 3-2 | Primera División |
| Jun 22, 2024 | Penarol(home) | 0-2 | Primera División |
| Jun 15, 2024 | Defensor Sporting(away) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Jun 9, 2024 | CA River Plate(home) | 1-0 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 12, 2024 | Racing Montevideo(home) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Jul 6, 2024 | Penarol(away) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Jun 22, 2024 | Fenix(home) | 1-3 | Primera División |
| Jun 15, 2024 | CA River Plate(away) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Jun 8, 2024 | Defensor Sporting(home) | 0-2 | Primera División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Progreso wins, 3 draws, 1 Deportivo Maldonado win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2024 | Progreso 3-1 Deportivo Maldonado | Primera División |
| Oct 21, 2021 | Progreso 2-0 Deportivo Maldonado | Primera División - Clausura |
| Jun 24, 2021 | Deportivo Maldonado 1-1 Progreso | Primera División |
| Mar 2, 2021 | Progreso 1-1 Deportivo Maldonado | Primera División - Clausura |
| Sep 6, 2020 | Deportivo Maldonado 1-0 Progreso | Primera División |
| Nov 11, 2017 | Deportivo Maldonado 0-0 Progreso | Segunda División |
Last archived meeting: Progreso vs Deportivo Maldonado on Mar 31, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Progreso score 1.2 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Deportivo Maldonado score 0.9 and concede 1.4.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Progreso | 1.2 | 1.7 | 2 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Deportivo Maldonado | 0.9 | 1.4 | 2 | 9/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Progreso sit 9th in Primera División (13 points from 10 matches) and Deportivo Maldonado sit 5th (18 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Deportivo Maldonado | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 6 | 18 |
| 9 | Progreso | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 13 | 13 |
A question about Progreso vs Deportivo Maldonado?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy