Progreso vs Penarol: result 1-5 and analysis
Primera División - ClausuraClausura - 14Kick-off on November 27, 2024 at 12:00 AM (UTC)Estadio Centenario, Montevideo
Full time
What was the result of Progreso vs Penarol?
Penarol won 1-5 on November 27, 2024.
Goalscorers
- 37′R. PérezPenarol
- 42′M. SilveraPenarol
- 63′A. MedinaPenarol
- 68′F. BatistaPenarol
- 85′F. BatistaPenarol
- 90′Bruno Joaquín Hernández ÁlvarezProgreso
Official lineup for Progreso vs Penarol
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Progreso
3-4-1-2- 11G. Colmán
- 7A. Moreira
- 20M. García
- 6F. Silvera
- 16P. Caballero
- 25A. García
- 22J. González
- 18G. Castillo
- 2N. Gómez
- 15M. Martin
- 1M. Castro
Penarol
4-2-3-1- 11M. Silvera
- 32J. Báez
- 8L. Fernández
- 26L. Sequeira
- 6R. Pérez
- 13E. Darias
- 27L. Hernández
- 4Guzmán Rodríguez
- 23J. Méndez
- 22D. Suárez
- 29W. Aguerre
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Progreso have 1 win, 6 draws and 8 defeats; Penarol have 11, 2 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 18, 2024 | Fenix(home) | 2-2 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Nov 14, 2024 | Defensor Sporting(away) | 0-3 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Nov 10, 2024 | Wanderers(home) | 0-0 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Nov 3, 2024 | Liverpool Montevideo(away) | 1-2 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Oct 19, 2024 | CA River Plate(home) | 2-0 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 17, 2024 | Defensor Sporting(home) | 2-0 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Nov 14, 2024 | Wanderers(away) | 2-0 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Nov 9, 2024 | Liverpool Montevideo(home) | 2-0 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Nov 3, 2024 | CA River Plate(away) | 1-0 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Oct 31, 2024 | Botafogo(home) | 3-1 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Progreso wins, 1 draw, 5 Penarol wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 22, 2024 | Progreso 0-2 Penarol | Primera División |
| May 23, 2024 | Penarol 3-1 Progreso | Primera División |
| Nov 25, 2021 | Progreso 0-0 Penarol | Primera División - Clausura |
| Aug 14, 2021 | Penarol 1-0 Progreso | Primera División |
| Mar 25, 2021 | Progreso 0-2 Penarol | Primera División - Clausura |
| Oct 6, 2020 | Penarol 2-1 Progreso | Primera División |
How many goals should we expect?
Progreso score 0.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Penarol score 1.7 and concede 0.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Progreso | 0.5 | 1.3 | 4 | 4/15 | 5/15 |
| Penarol | 1.7 | 0.5 | 12 | 2/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Progreso sit 12th in Primera División - Clausura (39 points from 37 matches) and Penarol sit 2nd (78 points from 37 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Penarol | 37 | 24 | 6 | 7 | 66 | 34 | 78 |
| 12 | Progreso | 37 | 10 | 9 | 18 | 38 | 60 | 39 |
A question about Progreso vs Penarol?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy