Progreso vs Penarol: result 0-2 and analysis
Primera DivisiónIntermediate Round - 3Kick-off on June 22, 2024 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Centenario, Montevideo
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What was the result of Progreso vs Penarol?
Penarol won 0-2 on June 22, 2024.
Goalscorers
- 60′F. GonzálezPenarol
- 90′L. FernándezPenarol
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Progreso have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Penarol have 10, 2 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 15, 2024 | Defensor Sporting(away) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Jun 9, 2024 | CA River Plate(home) | 1-0 | Primera División |
| Jun 4, 2024 | Cerro Largo(home) | 0-1 | Primera División |
| May 23, 2024 | Penarol(away) | 1-3 | Primera División |
| May 18, 2024 | Fenix(away) | 0-1 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 16, 2024 | Racing Montevideo(home) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Jun 8, 2024 | Wanderers(away) | 0-2 | Primera División |
| Jun 2, 2024 | Fenix(away) | 1-0 | Primera División |
| May 28, 2024 | Rosario Central(home) | 2-1 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| May 23, 2024 | Progreso(home) | 3-1 | Primera División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Progreso win(s), 2 draw(s), 4 Penarol win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2024 | Penarol 3-1 Progreso | Primera División |
| Nov 25, 2021 | Progreso 0-0 Penarol | Primera División - Clausura |
| Aug 14, 2021 | Penarol 1-0 Progreso | Primera División |
| Mar 25, 2021 | Progreso 0-2 Penarol | Primera División - Clausura |
| Oct 6, 2020 | Penarol 2-1 Progreso | Primera División |
| Nov 27, 2019 | Progreso 0-0 Penarol | Primera División - Clausura |
How many goals should we expect?
Progreso score 1.4 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Penarol score 1.7 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Progreso | 1.4 | 1.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Penarol | 1.7 | 0.9 | 7 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Progreso sit 15th in Primera División (10 points from 15 matches) and Penarol sit 4th (27 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Penarol | 61 | 38 | 11 | 12 | 103 | 54 | 125 |
| 1 | Penarol | 24 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 37 | 20 | 47 |
| 1 | Penarol | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 3 | 16 |
| 4 | Penarol | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 23 | 16 | 27 |
| 7 | Penarol | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 7 | Progreso | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 6 |
| 15 | Progreso | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 12 | 23 | 10 |
| 16 | Progreso | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 | Progreso | 61 | 14 | 13 | 34 | 56 | 97 | 55 |
| 16 | Progreso | 24 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 18 | 37 | 16 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy