Progreso vs Penarol: result 1-1 and analysis
Primera División - ClausuraIntermediate Round - 2Kick-off on July 20, 2019 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Parque Abraham Paladino, Montevideo
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What was the result of Progreso vs Penarol?
Progreso and Penarol drew 1-1 on July 20, 2019.
Goalscorers
- 43′G. RodríguezPenarol
- 76′R. ViegaProgreso
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Progreso have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Penarol have 8, 5 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 14, 2019 | CA River Plate(away) | 0-0 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Jun 1, 2019 | Defensor Sporting(home) | 0-3 | Primera División |
| May 26, 2019 | Penarol(away) | 2-2 | Primera División |
| May 19, 2019 | Cerro Largo(away) | 0-0 | Primera División |
| May 11, 2019 | Fenix(home) | 3-0 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 14, 2019 | Boston River(home) | 4-0 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Jun 2, 2019 | Cerro Largo(away) | 0-1 | Primera División |
| May 29, 2019 | Deportivo Cali(home) | 2-0 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| May 26, 2019 | Progreso(home) | 2-2 | Primera División |
| May 22, 2019 | Deportivo Cali(away) | 1-1 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 0 Progreso wins, 1 draw, 4 Penarol wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 26, 2019 | Penarol 2-2 Progreso | Primera División |
| Oct 27, 2018 | Penarol 1-0 Progreso | Primera División - Clausura |
| Apr 29, 2018 | Progreso 0-1 Penarol | Primera División |
| May 11, 2013 | Penarol 1-0 Progreso | Primera División - Clausura |
| Nov 17, 2012 | Progreso 1-3 Penarol | Primera División |
How many goals should we expect?
Progreso score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Penarol score 1.3 and concede 0.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Progreso | 1.5 | 1.5 | 6 | 5/15 | 9/15 |
| Penarol | 1.3 | 0.7 | 8 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Progreso sit 12th in Primera División - Clausura (39 points from 37 matches) and Penarol sit 2nd (78 points from 37 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Penarol | 37 | 24 | 6 | 7 | 66 | 34 | 78 |
| 12 | Progreso | 37 | 10 | 9 | 18 | 38 | 60 | 39 |
A question about Progreso vs Penarol?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy