Penarol vs Progreso: result 2-2 and analysis
Primera DivisiónApertura - 14Kick-off on May 26, 2019 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Campeón del Siglo, Montevideo
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What was the result of Penarol vs Progreso?
Penarol and Progreso drew 2-2 on May 26, 2019.
Goalscorers
- 23′Mathías Damián Riquero BerettaProgreso
- 26′L. AcevedoPenarol
- 40′Mathías Damián Riquero BerettaProgreso
- 90′G. FernándezPenarol
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Penarol have 8 wins, 5 draws and 2 defeats; Progreso have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 22, 2019 | Deportivo Cali(away) | 1-1 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| May 18, 2019 | Fenix(away) | 2-1 | Primera División |
| May 12, 2019 | Club Nacional(home) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| May 9, 2019 | Flamengo(home) | 0-0 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| May 4, 2019 | CA River Plate(away) | 2-0 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 19, 2019 | Cerro Largo(away) | 0-0 | Primera División |
| May 11, 2019 | Fenix(home) | 3-0 | Primera División |
| May 4, 2019 | Club Nacional(away) | 0-4 | Primera División |
| Apr 20, 2019 | CA River Plate(home) | 4-0 | Primera División |
| Apr 13, 2019 | Cerro(away) | 2-0 | Primera División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 4 Penarol win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Progreso win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 27, 2018 | Penarol 1-0 Progreso | Primera División - Clausura |
| Apr 29, 2018 | Progreso 0-1 Penarol | Primera División |
| May 11, 2013 | Penarol 1-0 Progreso | Primera División - Clausura |
| Nov 17, 2012 | Progreso 1-3 Penarol | Primera División |
How many goals should we expect?
Penarol score 1.5 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Progreso score 1.9 and concede 1.4.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Penarol | 1.5 | 0.7 | 8 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Progreso | 1.9 | 1.4 | 6 | 5/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Penarol sit 4th in Primera División (27 points from 15 matches) and Progreso sit 15th (10 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Penarol | 61 | 38 | 11 | 12 | 103 | 54 | 125 |
| 1 | Penarol | 24 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 37 | 20 | 47 |
| 1 | Penarol | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 3 | 16 |
| 4 | Penarol | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 23 | 16 | 27 |
| 7 | Penarol | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 7 | Progreso | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 6 |
| 15 | Progreso | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 12 | 23 | 10 |
| 16 | Progreso | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 | Progreso | 61 | 14 | 13 | 34 | 56 | 97 | 55 |
| 16 | Progreso | 24 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 18 | 37 | 16 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy