Progreso vs Penarol: result 0-2 and analysis
Primera División - ClausuraClausura - 14Kick-off on March 25, 2021 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Parque Abraham Paladino, Montevideo
Full time
What was the result of Progreso vs Penarol?
Penarol won 0-2 on March 25, 2021.
Goalscorers
- 45′G. KagelmacherPenarol
- 59′A. ÁlvarezPenarol
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Progreso have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Penarol have 6, 7 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2021 | Wanderers(away) | 3-1 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Mar 14, 2021 | Cerro Largo(home) | 1-0 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Mar 8, 2021 | Rentistas(away) | 3-1 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Mar 2, 2021 | Deportivo Maldonado(home) | 1-1 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Feb 23, 2021 | Boston River(away) | 3-2 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2021 | Plaza Colonia(home) | 1-3 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Mar 15, 2021 | Atletico Torque(away) | 2-1 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Mar 6, 2021 | CA River Plate(home) | 2-0 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Feb 26, 2021 | Liverpool Montevideo(away) | 1-1 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Feb 21, 2021 | Wanderers(away) | 1-0 | Primera División - Clausura |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Progreso win(s), 3 draw(s), 3 Penarol win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 6, 2020 | Penarol 2-1 Progreso | Primera División |
| Nov 27, 2019 | Progreso 0-0 Penarol | Primera División - Clausura |
| Jul 20, 2019 | Progreso 1-1 Penarol | Primera División - Clausura |
| May 26, 2019 | Penarol 2-2 Progreso | Primera División |
| Oct 27, 2018 | Penarol 1-0 Progreso | Primera División - Clausura |
| Apr 29, 2018 | Progreso 0-1 Penarol | Primera División |
How many goals should we expect?
Progreso score 1.2 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Penarol score 1.1 and concede 0.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Progreso | 1.2 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Penarol | 1.1 | 0.8 | 6 | 9/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Progreso sit 12th in Primera División - Clausura (39 points from 37 matches) and Penarol sit 2nd (78 points from 37 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Penarol | 37 | 24 | 6 | 7 | 66 | 34 | 78 |
| 12 | Progreso | 37 | 10 | 9 | 18 | 38 | 60 | 39 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy