Progreso vs Racing Montevideo: result 4-3 and analysis
Primera DivisiónApertura - 4Kick-off on March 10, 2024 at 07:30 PM (UTC)Parque Abraham Paladino, Montevideo
Full time
What was the result of Progreso vs Racing Montevideo?
Progreso won 4-3 on March 10, 2024.
Goalscorers
- 4′A. PereiraRacing Montevideo
- 42′F. LópezProgreso
- 52′A. AlanizRacing Montevideo (pen.)
- 61′I. LemmoProgreso
- 74′F. LópezProgreso
- 88′I. LemmoProgreso
- 90′N. SosaRacing Montevideo
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Progreso have 10 wins, 4 draws and 1 defeats; Racing Montevideo have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2024 | Cerro(away) | 3-2 | Primera División |
| Feb 17, 2024 | Miramar(away) | 3-2 | Primera División |
| Dec 3, 2023 | Uruguay Montevideo(away) | 3-1 | Segunda División |
| Nov 29, 2023 | Albion FC(home) | 3-2 | Segunda División |
| Nov 24, 2023 | SUD America(away) | 4-0 | Segunda División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2024 | Cerro Largo(home) | 2-0 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| Mar 2, 2024 | Defensor Sporting(home) | 1-2 | Primera División |
| Feb 23, 2024 | Wanderers(away) | 1-0 | Primera División |
| Feb 18, 2024 | Liverpool Montevideo(home) | 2-2 | Primera División |
| Dec 7, 2023 | Cerro(home) | 0-1 | Primera División - Clausura |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Progreso win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Racing Montevideo win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2022 | Racing Montevideo 2-1 Progreso | Segunda División |
| May 22, 2022 | Progreso 0-2 Racing Montevideo | Segunda División |
| Oct 9, 2019 | Progreso 2-1 Racing Montevideo | Primera División - Clausura |
| Mar 17, 2019 | Racing Montevideo 3-0 Progreso | Primera División |
| Sep 9, 2018 | Racing Montevideo 2-0 Progreso | Primera División - Clausura |
| Mar 25, 2018 | Progreso 3-0 Racing Montevideo | Primera División |
Last archived meeting: Racing Montevideo vs Progreso on Aug 14, 2022
How many goals should we expect?
Progreso score 2.2 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Racing Montevideo score 1.2 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Progreso | 2.2 | 1.3 | 3 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Racing Montevideo | 1.2 | 0.9 | 6 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Progreso sit 15th in Primera División (10 points from 15 matches) and Racing Montevideo sit 1st (31 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Racing Montevideo | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 23 | 14 | 31 |
| 3 | Racing Montevideo | 25 | 12 | 10 | 3 | 31 | 19 | 46 |
| 3 | Racing Montevideo | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 10 |
| 5 | Racing Montevideo | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 5 |
| 5 | Racing Montevideo | 62 | 26 | 21 | 15 | 70 | 57 | 99 |
| 7 | Progreso | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 6 |
| 15 | Progreso | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 12 | 23 | 10 |
| 16 | Progreso | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 | Progreso | 61 | 14 | 13 | 34 | 56 | 97 | 55 |
| 16 | Progreso | 24 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 18 | 37 | 16 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy