Progreso vs Racing Montevideo: result 1-2 and analysis
Primera DivisiónRegular Season - 15Kick-off on December 9, 2012 at 08:05 PM (UTC)Parque Abraham Paladino, Montevideo
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What was the result of Progreso vs Racing Montevideo?
Racing Montevideo won 1-2 on December 9, 2012.
Goalscorers
- 52′D. ZabalaRacing Montevideo
- 55′R. GuartecheProgreso
- 79′G. AguilarRacing Montevideo
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Progreso have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Racing Montevideo have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 1, 2012 | Club Nacional(away) | 1-6 | Primera División |
| Nov 25, 2012 | Juventud(home) | 0-1 | Primera División |
| Nov 17, 2012 | Penarol(home) | 1-3 | Primera División |
| Nov 10, 2012 | El Tanque Sisley(away) | 2-2 | Primera División |
| Nov 4, 2012 | Central Espanol(home) | 1-0 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 2, 2012 | Liverpool Montevideo(away) | 4-4 | Primera División |
| Nov 24, 2012 | Club Nacional(home) | 0-2 | Primera División |
| Nov 18, 2012 | El Tanque Sisley(home) | 0-1 | Primera División |
| Nov 11, 2012 | Wanderers(away) | 0-3 | Primera División |
| Nov 3, 2012 | Danubio(home) | 2-2 | Primera División |
How many goals should we expect?
Progreso score 1.1 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Racing Montevideo score 1.1 and concede 1.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Progreso | 1.1 | 2.0 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Racing Montevideo | 1.1 | 1.7 | 3 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Progreso sit 15th in Primera División (10 points from 15 matches) and Racing Montevideo sit 1st (31 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Racing Montevideo | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 23 | 14 | 31 |
| 3 | Racing Montevideo | 25 | 12 | 10 | 3 | 31 | 19 | 46 |
| 3 | Racing Montevideo | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 10 |
| 5 | Racing Montevideo | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 5 |
| 5 | Racing Montevideo | 62 | 26 | 21 | 15 | 70 | 57 | 99 |
| 7 | Progreso | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 6 |
| 15 | Progreso | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 12 | 23 | 10 |
| 16 | Progreso | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 | Progreso | 61 | 14 | 13 | 34 | 56 | 97 | 55 |
| 16 | Progreso | 24 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 18 | 37 | 16 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy