Progreso vs Wanderers: result 2-2 and analysis
Primera DivisiónApertura - 4Kick-off on March 9, 2019 at 07:30 PM (UTC)Parque Abraham Paladino, Montevideo
Full time
What was the result of Progreso vs Wanderers?
Progreso and Wanderers drew 2-2 on March 9, 2019.
Goalscorers
- 25′R. PastoriniWanderers (pen.)
- 63′G. AllesProgreso
- 77′R. PastoriniWanderers
- 90′E. GonzálezProgreso
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Progreso have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Wanderers have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2019 | Liverpool Montevideo(away) | 5-3 | Primera División |
| Feb 24, 2019 | Juventud(home) | 1-0 | Primera División |
| Feb 16, 2019 | Rampla Juniors(away) | 4-3 | Primera División |
| Nov 3, 2018 | Atenas(home) | 5-0 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Oct 27, 2018 | Penarol(away) | 0-1 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2019 | Fenix(home) | 0-2 | Primera División |
| Feb 26, 2019 | Club Nacional(away) | 4-1 | Primera División |
| Feb 16, 2019 | CA River Plate(home) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Nov 4, 2018 | Liverpool Montevideo(home) | 3-2 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Oct 28, 2018 | Cerro(away) | 1-1 | Primera División - Clausura |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Progreso win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Wanderers win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 23, 2018 | Wanderers 3-2 Progreso | Primera División - Clausura |
| Mar 31, 2018 | Progreso 0-1 Wanderers | Primera División |
| Apr 14, 2013 | Wanderers 4-0 Progreso | Primera División - Clausura |
| Oct 21, 2012 | Progreso 1-0 Wanderers | Primera División |
Last archived meeting: Wanderers vs Progreso on Sep 23, 2018
How many goals should we expect?
Progreso score 1.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Wanderers score 1.9 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Progreso | 1.7 | 1.5 | 5 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Wanderers | 1.9 | 1.3 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Progreso sit 15th in Primera División (10 points from 15 matches) and Wanderers sit 10th (20 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wanderers | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 12 | 4 | 15 |
| 5 | Wanderers | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 31 | 31 | 39 |
| 7 | Progreso | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 6 |
| 9 | Wanderers | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 4 |
| 10 | Wanderers | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 16 | 21 | 20 |
| 14 | Wanderers | 62 | 17 | 19 | 26 | 56 | 78 | 70 |
| 15 | Progreso | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 12 | 23 | 10 |
| 16 | Progreso | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 | Progreso | 61 | 14 | 13 | 34 | 56 | 97 | 55 |
| 16 | Progreso | 24 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 18 | 37 | 16 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy