PSIM Yogyakarta vs Arema FC: prediction and stats
Liga 1Regular Season - 14Kick-off on December 14, 2026 at 08:30 AM (UTC)Stadion Mandala Krida, Yogyakarta
The Footlab model makes PSIM Yogyakarta the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Arema FC. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win PSIM Yogyakarta vs Arema FC?
A very open match: only 26 Elo points separate PSIM Yogyakarta (1,721) and Arema FC (1,747).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, PSIM Yogyakarta have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Arema FC have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 22, 2026 | Arema FC(away) | 1-3 | Liga 1 |
| May 17, 2026 | Persepam Madura Utd(home) | 2-1 | Liga 1 |
| May 10, 2026 | Malut United(home) | 2-0 | Liga 1 |
| May 4, 2026 | Persib Bandung(away) | 0-1 | Liga 1 |
| Apr 30, 2026 | Persita(home) | 0-1 | Liga 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 6, 2026 | Persija(away) | 1-3 | Piala Presiden |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Persebaya Surabaya(away) | 0-1 | Piala Presiden |
| Jul 31, 2026 | DPMM FC Brunei(home) | 2-0 | Piala Presiden |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Tampines Rovers(away) | 2-1 | Piala Presiden |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Persib Bandung(away) | 0-1 | Piala Presiden |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 PSIM Yogyakarta win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Arema FC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 22, 2026 | Arema FC 3-1 PSIM Yogyakarta | Liga 1 |
| Aug 16, 2025 | PSIM Yogyakarta 1-1 Arema FC | Liga 1 |
Last archived meeting: Arema FC vs PSIM Yogyakarta on May 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
PSIM Yogyakarta score 1.3 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Arema FC score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PSIM Yogyakarta | 1.3 | 1.4 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Arema FC | 1.5 | 1.3 | 5 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
PSIM Yogyakarta sit 11th in Liga 1 (45 points from 34 matches) and Arema FC sit 9th (48 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Arema FC | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 53 | 47 | 48 |
| 11 | PSIM Yogyakarta | 34 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 43 | 44 | 45 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for PSIM Yogyakarta vs Arema FC?
- The Footlab model makes PSIM Yogyakarta the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Arema FC.
- Where and when is PSIM Yogyakarta vs Arema FC played?
- PSIM Yogyakarta vs Arema FC is played on December 14, 2026 at 08:30 AM (UTC) at Stadion Mandala Krida, in the Liga 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 12, 2026Persepam Madura UtdvsAdhyaksa
- Dec 12, 2026PersijavsBali United
- Dec 13, 2026Malut UnitedvsPSM Makassar
- Dec 13, 2026GarudayaksavsDewa United
- Dec 13, 2026Pusamania BorneovsPersebaya Surabaya
- Dec 14, 2026PersitavsBhayangkara FC
- Dec 14, 2026Persib BandungvsPSS Sleman
- Dec 14, 2026Persik KedirivsPersijap