Bali United vs PSIM Yogyakarta: prediction and stats
Liga 1Regular Season - 15Kick-off on December 18, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Kapten I Wayan Dipta, Gianyar
The Footlab model makes Bali United the favourite at 53%, against 24% for a draw and 23% for PSIM Yogyakarta. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bali United vs PSIM Yogyakarta?
A very open match: only 53 Elo points separate Bali United (1,775) and PSIM Yogyakarta (1,721).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bali United have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; PSIM Yogyakarta have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 18, 2026 | Persib Bandung(away) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 22, 2026 | Dewa United(away) | 1-0 | Liga 1 |
| May 17, 2026 | Bhayangkara FC(home) | 4-1 | Liga 1 |
| May 11, 2026 | Pusamania Borneo(home) | 2-3 | Liga 1 |
| May 5, 2026 | Persepam Madura Utd(away) | 0-2 | Liga 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 22, 2026 | Arema FC(away) | 1-3 | Liga 1 |
| May 17, 2026 | Persepam Madura Utd(home) | 2-1 | Liga 1 |
| May 10, 2026 | Malut United(home) | 2-0 | Liga 1 |
| May 4, 2026 | Persib Bandung(away) | 0-1 | Liga 1 |
| Apr 30, 2026 | Persita(home) | 0-1 | Liga 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Bali United win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 PSIM Yogyakarta win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 2026 | PSIM Yogyakarta 3-3 Bali United | Liga 1 |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Bali United 1-3 PSIM Yogyakarta | Liga 1 |
Last archived meeting: PSIM Yogyakarta vs Bali United on Feb 23, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Bali United score 2.1 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; PSIM Yogyakarta score 1.3 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bali United | 2.1 | 1.6 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| PSIM Yogyakarta | 1.3 | 1.4 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bali United sit 8th in Liga 1 (51 points from 34 matches) and PSIM Yogyakarta sit 11th (45 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Bali United | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 57 | 48 | 51 |
| 11 | PSIM Yogyakarta | 34 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 43 | 44 | 45 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bali United vs PSIM Yogyakarta?
- The Footlab model makes Bali United the favourite at 53%, against 24% for a draw and 23% for PSIM Yogyakarta.
- Where and when is Bali United vs PSIM Yogyakarta played?
- Bali United vs PSIM Yogyakarta is played on December 18, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Kapten I Wayan Dipta, in the Liga 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 16, 2026PersijavsPersepam Madura Utd
- Dec 17, 2026PSM MakassarvsGarudayaksa
- Dec 17, 2026Dewa UnitedvsAdhyaksa
- Dec 18, 2026Persik KedirivsMalut United
- Dec 18, 2026PSS SlemanvsPersijap
- Dec 18, 2026PersitavsPersebaya Surabaya
- Dec 20, 2026Bhayangkara FCvsPusamania Borneo
- Dec 20, 2026Arema FCvsPersib Bandung