Match

Bali United vs PSIM Yogyakarta: prediction and stats

Liga 1Regular Season - 15Kick-off on December 18, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Kapten I Wayan Dipta, Gianyar

Bali UnitedPSIM Yogyakarta

The Footlab model makes Bali United the favourite at 53%, against 24% for a draw and 23% for PSIM Yogyakarta. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Bali United vs PSIM Yogyakarta?

A very open match: only 53 Elo points separate Bali United (1,775) and PSIM Yogyakarta (1,721).

Bali United win53 %
Draw24 %
PSIM Yogyakarta win23 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bali United have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; PSIM Yogyakarta have 3, 6 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Bali United
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 18, 2026Persib Bandung(away)2-3Friendlies Clubs
May 22, 2026Dewa United(away)1-0Liga 1
May 17, 2026Bhayangkara FC(home)4-1Liga 1
May 11, 2026Pusamania Borneo(home)2-3Liga 1
May 5, 2026Persepam Madura Utd(away)0-2Liga 1
PSIM Yogyakarta
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 22, 2026Arema FC(away)1-3Liga 1
May 17, 2026Persepam Madura Utd(home)2-1Liga 1
May 10, 2026Malut United(home)2-0Liga 1
May 4, 2026Persib Bandung(away)0-1Liga 1
Apr 30, 2026Persita(home)0-1Liga 1

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Bali United win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 PSIM Yogyakarta win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 23, 2026PSIM Yogyakarta 3-3 Bali UnitedLiga 1
Sep 20, 2025Bali United 1-3 PSIM YogyakartaLiga 1

Last archived meeting: PSIM Yogyakarta vs Bali United on Feb 23, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Bali United score 2.1 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; PSIM Yogyakarta score 1.3 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Bali United2.11.648/159/15
PSIM Yogyakarta1.31.439/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Bali United sit 8th in Liga 1 (51 points from 34 matches) and PSIM Yogyakarta sit 11th (45 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
8Bali United3414911574851
11PSIM Yogyakarta34111211434445

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Bali United vs PSIM Yogyakarta?
The Footlab model makes Bali United the favourite at 53%, against 24% for a draw and 23% for PSIM Yogyakarta.
Where and when is Bali United vs PSIM Yogyakarta played?
Bali United vs PSIM Yogyakarta is played on December 18, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Kapten I Wayan Dipta, in the Liga 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Bali United and PSIM Yogyakarta

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