PSM Makassar vs Arema FC: prediction and stats
Liga 1Regular Season - 2Kick-off on September 13, 2026 at 08:30 AM (UTC)Stadion Gelora B.J. Habibie, Lompoe
The Footlab model makes Arema FC the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for PSM Makassar. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win PSM Makassar vs Arema FC?
A very open match: only 62 Elo points separate PSM Makassar (1,685) and Arema FC (1,747).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, PSM Makassar have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Arema FC have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | Persepam Madura Utd(away) | 0-2 | Liga 1 |
| May 17, 2026 | Persib Bandung(home) | 1-2 | Liga 1 |
| May 9, 2026 | Arema FC(away) | 0-3 | Liga 1 |
| May 4, 2026 | Bhayangkara FC(home) | 2-1 | Liga 1 |
| Apr 27, 2026 | Bali United(away) | 0-2 | Liga 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 6, 2026 | Persija(away) | 1-3 | Piala Presiden |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Persebaya Surabaya(away) | 0-1 | Piala Presiden |
| Jul 31, 2026 | DPMM FC Brunei(home) | 2-0 | Piala Presiden |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Tampines Rovers(away) | 2-1 | Piala Presiden |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Persib Bandung(away) | 0-1 | Piala Presiden |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 PSM Makassar win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Arema FC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Arema FC 3-0 PSM Makassar | Liga 1 |
| Oct 19, 2025 | PSM Makassar 1-2 Arema FC | Liga 1 |
| Feb 10, 2025 | Arema FC 1-1 PSM Makassar | Liga 1 |
| Sep 15, 2024 | PSM Makassar 0-1 Arema FC | Liga 1 |
| Apr 25, 2024 | Arema FC 3-2 PSM Makassar | Liga 1 |
| Oct 20, 2023 | PSM Makassar 3-0 Arema FC | Liga 1 |
Last archived meeting: Arema FC vs PSM Makassar on May 9, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
PSM Makassar score 1.2 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Arema FC score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PSM Makassar | 1.2 | 1.9 | 0 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Arema FC | 1.5 | 1.3 | 5 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
PSM Makassar sit 15th in Liga 1 (34 points from 34 matches) and Arema FC sit 9th (48 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Arema FC | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 53 | 47 | 48 |
| 15 | PSM Makassar | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 39 | 49 | 34 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for PSM Makassar vs Arema FC?
- The Footlab model makes Arema FC the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for PSM Makassar.
- Where and when is PSM Makassar vs Arema FC played?
- PSM Makassar vs Arema FC is played on September 13, 2026 at 08:30 AM (UTC) at Stadion Gelora B.J. Habibie, in the Liga 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 11, 2026AdhyaksavsBali United
- Sep 11, 2026GarudayaksavsPersik Kediri
- Sep 11, 2026Dewa UnitedvsBhayangkara FC
- Sep 12, 2026PersijavsPersib Bandung
- Sep 12, 2026PSS SlemanvsPersepam Madura Utd
- Sep 12, 2026PersijapvsPusamania Borneo
- Sep 13, 2026PersitavsMalut United
- Sep 13, 2026Persebaya SurabayavsPSIM Yogyakarta