Match

PSM Makassar vs Arema FC: prediction and stats

Liga 1Regular Season - 2Kick-off on September 13, 2026 at 08:30 AM (UTC)Stadion Gelora B.J. Habibie, Lompoe

PSM MakassarArema FC

The Footlab model makes Arema FC the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for PSM Makassar. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win PSM Makassar vs Arema FC?

A very open match: only 62 Elo points separate PSM Makassar (1,685) and Arema FC (1,747).

PSM Makassar win35 %
Draw26 %
Arema FC win38 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, PSM Makassar have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Arema FC have 7, 2 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

PSM Makassar
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 23, 2026Persepam Madura Utd(away)0-2Liga 1
May 17, 2026Persib Bandung(home)1-2Liga 1
May 9, 2026Arema FC(away)0-3Liga 1
May 4, 2026Bhayangkara FC(home)2-1Liga 1
Apr 27, 2026Bali United(away)0-2Liga 1
Arema FC
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 6, 2026Persija(away)1-3Piala Presiden
Aug 4, 2026Persebaya Surabaya(away)0-1Piala Presiden
Jul 31, 2026DPMM FC Brunei(home)2-0Piala Presiden
Jul 28, 2026Tampines Rovers(away)2-1Piala Presiden
Jul 25, 2026Persib Bandung(away)0-1Piala Presiden

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 PSM Makassar win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Arema FC win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
May 9, 2026Arema FC 3-0 PSM MakassarLiga 1
Oct 19, 2025PSM Makassar 1-2 Arema FCLiga 1
Feb 10, 2025Arema FC 1-1 PSM MakassarLiga 1
Sep 15, 2024PSM Makassar 0-1 Arema FCLiga 1
Apr 25, 2024Arema FC 3-2 PSM MakassarLiga 1
Oct 20, 2023PSM Makassar 3-0 Arema FCLiga 1

Last archived meeting: Arema FC vs PSM Makassar on May 9, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

PSM Makassar score 1.2 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Arema FC score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
PSM Makassar1.21.9010/1510/15
Arema FC1.51.357/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

PSM Makassar sit 15th in Liga 1 (34 points from 34 matches) and Arema FC sit 9th (48 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
9Arema FC3413912534748
15PSM Makassar3481016394934

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for PSM Makassar vs Arema FC?
The Footlab model makes Arema FC the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for PSM Makassar.
Where and when is PSM Makassar vs Arema FC played?
PSM Makassar vs Arema FC is played on September 13, 2026 at 08:30 AM (UTC) at Stadion Gelora B.J. Habibie, in the Liga 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: PSM Makassar and Arema FC

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