PSS Sleman vs Persepam Madura Utd: prediction and stats
Liga 1Regular Season - 2Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 08:30 AM (UTC)Stadion Maguwoharjo, Yogyakarta
The Footlab model makes PSS Sleman the favourite at 54%, against 24% for a draw and 22% for Persepam Madura Utd. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win PSS Sleman vs Persepam Madura Utd?
A very open match: only 92 Elo points separate PSS Sleman (1,764) and Persepam Madura Utd (1,672).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, PSS Sleman have 7 wins, 6 draws and 2 defeats; Persepam Madura Utd have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Garudayaksa(home) | 2-2 | Liga 2 |
| May 3, 2026 | PSIS Semarang(home) | 3-0 | Liga 2 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Persiba Balikpapan(away) | 1-1 | Liga 2 |
| Apr 20, 2026 | Persiku Kudus(home) | 2-1 | Liga 2 |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Barito Putera(away) | 0-1 | Liga 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | PSM Makassar(home) | 2-0 | Liga 1 |
| May 17, 2026 | PSIM Yogyakarta(away) | 1-2 | Liga 1 |
| May 11, 2026 | Bhayangkara FC(away) | 1-3 | Liga 1 |
| May 5, 2026 | Bali United(home) | 2-0 | Liga 1 |
| Apr 29, 2026 | Semen Padang(away) | 1-0 | Liga 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 PSS Sleman win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Persepam Madura Utd win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2025 | Persepam Madura Utd 0-3 PSS Sleman | Liga 1 |
| Dec 27, 2024 | PSS Sleman 4-0 Persepam Madura Utd | Liga 1 |
| Mar 29, 2024 | Persepam Madura Utd 0-0 PSS Sleman | Liga 1 |
| Sep 24, 2023 | PSS Sleman 1-1 Persepam Madura Utd | Liga 1 |
| Mar 11, 2023 | Persepam Madura Utd 2-1 PSS Sleman | Liga 1 |
| Dec 8, 2022 | PSS Sleman 0-1 Persepam Madura Utd | Liga 1 |
Last archived meeting: Persepam Madura Utd vs PSS Sleman on May 24, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
PSS Sleman score 1.8 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Persepam Madura Utd score 1.3 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PSS Sleman | 1.8 | 0.8 | 5 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Persepam Madura Utd | 1.3 | 1.9 | 3 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Persepam Madura Utd | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 37 | 54 | 35 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for PSS Sleman vs Persepam Madura Utd?
- The Footlab model makes PSS Sleman the favourite at 54%, against 24% for a draw and 22% for Persepam Madura Utd.
- Where and when is PSS Sleman vs Persepam Madura Utd played?
- PSS Sleman vs Persepam Madura Utd is played on September 12, 2026 at 08:30 AM (UTC) at Stadion Maguwoharjo, in the Liga 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.