PSM Makassar vs Bhayangkara FC: prediction and stats
Liga 1Regular Season - 26Kick-off on April 18, 2027 at 08:30 AM (UTC)Stadion Gelora B.J. Habibie, Lompoe
The Footlab model makes PSM Makassar the favourite at 37%, against 26% for a draw and 37% for Bhayangkara FC. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win PSM Makassar vs Bhayangkara FC?
A very open match: only 72 Elo points separate PSM Makassar (1,685) and Bhayangkara FC (1,758).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, PSM Makassar have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Bhayangkara FC have 9, 0 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | Persepam Madura Utd(away) | 0-2 | Liga 1 |
| May 17, 2026 | Persib Bandung(home) | 1-2 | Liga 1 |
| May 9, 2026 | Arema FC(away) | 0-3 | Liga 1 |
| May 4, 2026 | Bhayangkara FC(home) | 2-1 | Liga 1 |
| Apr 27, 2026 | Bali United(away) | 0-2 | Liga 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | PSBS Biak Numfor(home) | 7-0 | Liga 1 |
| May 17, 2026 | Bali United(away) | 1-4 | Liga 1 |
| May 11, 2026 | Persepam Madura Utd(home) | 3-1 | Liga 1 |
| May 4, 2026 | PSM Makassar(away) | 1-2 | Liga 1 |
| Apr 30, 2026 | Persib Bandung(home) | 2-4 | Liga 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 PSM Makassar win(s), 4 draw(s), 0 Bhayangkara FC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 4, 2026 | PSM Makassar 2-1 Bhayangkara FC | Liga 1 |
| Aug 16, 2025 | Bhayangkara FC 1-1 PSM Makassar | Liga 1 |
| Dec 8, 2023 | PSM Makassar 1-1 Bhayangkara FC | Liga 1 |
| Jul 29, 2023 | Bhayangkara FC 0-0 PSM Makassar | Liga 1 |
| Mar 17, 2023 | PSM Makassar 3-1 Bhayangkara FC | Liga 1 |
| Dec 12, 2022 | Bhayangkara FC 0-0 PSM Makassar | Liga 1 |
Last archived meeting: PSM Makassar vs Bhayangkara FC on May 4, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
PSM Makassar score 1.2 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Bhayangkara FC score 2.4 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PSM Makassar | 1.2 | 1.9 | 0 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Bhayangkara FC | 2.4 | 1.7 | 3 | 12/15 | 14/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
PSM Makassar sit 15th in Liga 1 (34 points from 34 matches) and Bhayangkara FC sit 5th (53 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Bhayangkara FC | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 53 | 45 | 53 |
| 15 | PSM Makassar | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 39 | 49 | 34 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for PSM Makassar vs Bhayangkara FC?
- The Footlab model makes PSM Makassar the favourite at 37%, against 26% for a draw and 37% for Bhayangkara FC.
- Where and when is PSM Makassar vs Bhayangkara FC played?
- PSM Makassar vs Bhayangkara FC is played on April 18, 2027 at 08:30 AM (UTC) at Stadion Gelora B.J. Habibie, in the Liga 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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