PSM Makassar vs Pusamania Borneo: prediction and stats
Liga 1Regular Season - 18Kick-off on February 11, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadion Gelora B.J. Habibie, Lompoe
The Footlab model makes Pusamania Borneo the favourite at 58%, against 23% for a draw and 20% for PSM Makassar. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win PSM Makassar vs Pusamania Borneo?
Pusamania Borneo starts as the favourite with a 242-point Elo edge (1,927 vs 1,685).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, PSM Makassar have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Pusamania Borneo have 11, 3 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | Persepam Madura Utd(away) | 0-2 | Liga 1 |
| May 17, 2026 | Persib Bandung(home) | 1-2 | Liga 1 |
| May 9, 2026 | Arema FC(away) | 0-3 | Liga 1 |
| May 4, 2026 | Bhayangkara FC(home) | 2-1 | Liga 1 |
| Apr 27, 2026 | Bali United(away) | 0-2 | Liga 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | Malut United(home) | 7-1 | Liga 1 |
| May 17, 2026 | Persijap(away) | 0-0 | Liga 1 |
| May 11, 2026 | Bali United(away) | 3-2 | Liga 1 |
| May 5, 2026 | Persita(home) | 2-0 | Liga 1 |
| Apr 29, 2026 | Persik Kediri(away) | 1-0 | Liga 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 PSM Makassar win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Pusamania Borneo win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | PSM Makassar 1-2 Pusamania Borneo | Liga 1 |
| Jan 3, 2026 | Pusamania Borneo 2-1 PSM Makassar | Liga 1 |
| Apr 18, 2025 | Pusamania Borneo 1-1 PSM Makassar | Liga 1 |
| Dec 2, 2024 | PSM Makassar 1-0 Pusamania Borneo | Liga 1 |
| Jul 25, 2024 | Pusamania Borneo 1-1 PSM Makassar | Piala Presiden |
| Mar 29, 2024 | PSM Makassar 1-1 Pusamania Borneo | Liga 1 |
Last archived meeting: PSM Makassar vs Pusamania Borneo on Apr 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
PSM Makassar score 1.2 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Pusamania Borneo score 2.7 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PSM Makassar | 1.2 | 1.9 | 0 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Pusamania Borneo | 2.7 | 0.9 | 4 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
PSM Makassar sit 15th in Liga 1 (34 points from 34 matches) and Pusamania Borneo sit 2nd (79 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Pusamania Borneo | 34 | 25 | 4 | 5 | 74 | 31 | 79 |
| 15 | PSM Makassar | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 39 | 49 | 34 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for PSM Makassar vs Pusamania Borneo?
- The Footlab model makes Pusamania Borneo the favourite at 58%, against 23% for a draw and 20% for PSM Makassar.
- Where and when is PSM Makassar vs Pusamania Borneo played?
- PSM Makassar vs Pusamania Borneo is played on February 11, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadion Gelora B.J. Habibie, in the Liga 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.